This paper, originally delivered as a lecture before the DOE-sponsored Workshop on Climate and Energy, offers some comments on the state-of-the-art of long-range weather forecasting based on the author's extensive decades of experience. An optimistic note is made on the potential ability to predict general climate anomalies from months to perhaps a year or so in advance, and implies that extreme conditions impacting energy industries may be easier to forecast than run–of–the–mill events. Highly detailed predictions beyond a week or two are not expected to be achievable, however.
Research Article| 1 February 1985
Remarks on the Potential for Long-Range Forecasting
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (1985) 66 (2): 165–173.
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Namias, J., 1985: Remarks on the Potential for Long-Range Forecasting. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 66, 165–173, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0477(1985)066<0165:ROTPFL>2.0.CO;2.
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