Gravity waves (GWs) play an important role in many atmospheric processes. However, the observation-based understanding of GWs is limited, and representing them in numerical models is difficult. Recent studies show that small islands can be intense sources of GWs, with climatologically significant effects on the atmospheric circulation. South Georgia, in the South Atlantic, is a notable source of such “small island” waves. GWs are usually too small scale to be resolved by current models, so their effects are represented approximately using resolved model fields (parameterization). However, the small-island waves are not well represented by such parameterizations, and the explicit representation of GWs in very-high-resolution models is still in its infancy. Steep islands such as South Georgia are also known to generate low-level wakes, affecting the flow hundreds of kilometers downwind. These wakes are also poorly represented in models.
We present results from the South Georgia Wave Experiment (SG-WEX) for 5 July 2015. Analysis of GWs from satellite observations is augmented by radiosonde observations made from South Georgia. Simulations were also made using high-resolution configurations of the Met Office Unified Model (UM). Comparison with observations indicates that the UM performs well for this case, with realistic representation of GW patterns and low-level wakes. Examination of a longer simulation period suggests that the wakes generally are well represented by the model. The realism of these simulations suggests they can be used to develop parameterizations for use at coarser model resolutions.
New observations at South Georgia (an extremely intense source of gravity waves) are used to evaluate model simulations of gravity waves and wakes.
Gravity waves (GWs), or buoyancy waves, play an important role in the atmosphere. The waves can modulate small-scale tropospheric weather phenomena, such as convection, and when they break they contribute to mixing of constituents. The waves can propagate to great heights, depositing both energy and momentum into the stratosphere and mesosphere when they break there. This momentum deposition results in a “drag” on the wind that is significant in the stratosphere and so large in the mesosphere that it closes the zonal jets and forces a global pole-to-pole meridional circulation that cools the summer mesopause to be the coldest place on Earth (e.g., Lübken and von Zahn 1991). GWs are thus fundamental to the structure and dynamics of the atmosphere.
Recent satellite observations have suggested that strong winds blowing over small mountainous islands can be a regular source of intense orographic GWs (mountain waves) (e.g., Hoffmann et al. 2016). The momentum carried by these GWs from mountainous islands is believed to have a climatologically significant impact on the circulation of the atmosphere. For example, the importance of the stratospheric wave drag at 60°S was recently highlighted by McLandress et al. (2012), who suggested that cold biases in the Southern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex, common to many climate models, might be associated with poor representation of the wave drag. South Georgia (54.5°S, 37°W) in the remote southern Atlantic Ocean is believed to be among the most intense source of such island GWs anywhere on Earth (e.g., Alexander et al. 2009).
As alluded to by McLandress et al. (2012), most global climate and numerical weather prediction (NWP) models, including the Met Office Unified Model (UM), suffer from what we can call the “small-island problem.” This arises because the source of the orographic GW drag is typically not explicitly resolved and instead is represented by parameterization (e.g., Palmer et al. 1986; McFarlane 1987; Alexander et al. 2010). Furthermore, it has become clear in recent years that the near-surface drag associated with mountain barriers and flow blocking dynamics is equally, if not more, important than the orographic GW drag, and that parameterization schemes are also required to represent this missing drag in models (e.g., Lott and Miller 1997; Scinocca and McFarlane 2000; Webster et al. 2003). Processes associated with strongly stratified conditions such as upwind flow blocking, flow splitting, wake formation, and low-level wake breaking impart a drag on the flow at low levels (over depths similar to the mountain height; Wells et al. 2008a,b). As with mountain waves, these processes occur on horizontal length scales as small as the small islands (i.e., a few kilometers).
Our understanding of GWs is also poorly constrained by observations. Significant uncertainties remain about the nature and variability of the waves produced under different meteorological conditions. GWs tend to occur in isolated, intermittent wave packets whose amplitudes and fluxes of energy and momentum can be an order of magnitude greater than time-averaged values (e.g., Buhler 2003; Plougonven et al. 2013). This intermittency is important to quantify because large-amplitude GWs can behave very differently from ones of smaller amplitude (e.g., breaking at lower heights), and so use of averaged GW fluxes in parameterizations can be very misleading. Furthermore, a comprehensive study of GWs requires simultaneous observations of the same region using different methods. This is because in situ observations (e.g., from radiosondes or radar) offer very high vertical resolution observations of GWs, but only over a limited area. Satellite observations, on the other hand, do have the advantage of near-global coverage, but the vertical (horizontal) resolution of nadir (limb) sounding data is insufficient.
South Georgia is at the edge of the “hot spot” region of very large stratospheric GW momentum fluxes observed by satellites to extend over the southern Andes–Drake Passage–Antarctic Peninsula region in winter (e.g., Ern et al. 2011). It also lies in the associated “wake region” of increased stratospheric GW energies observed downwind (i.e., eastward) of the hot spot. These features make South Georgia the ideal natural laboratory around which to study mountainous-island GWs and their representation in models. Here we report results from the South Georgia Wave Experiment (SG-WEX), a major coordinated observational and modeling experiment to determine the nature and impacts of gravity waves generated by South Georgia. Goals of SG-WEX include a more comprehensive observational understanding of GWs (using radiosonde, radar, and satellite observations) and the associated development of gravity wave parameterizations to allow the effects from islands such as South Georgia to be better represented in the UM (e.g., Vosper 2015).
There is a long heritage of model- and observation-based GW studies. Fritts et al. (2016) and Fritts and Alexander (2003) provide good reviews. A major recent observation-based study is the Deep Propagating Gravity Wave Experiment (DEEPWAVE; Fritts et al. 2016), which used ground-based and aircraft observations covering the 0–100-km altitude range and focused on the New Zealand and Tasmanian GW hot spot regions. Studies based on DEEPWAVE have, for example, focused on GWs generated by the Auckland Islands (Eckermann et al. 2016) and the mesospheric response to such waves (Pautet et al. 2016). Another major recent study (Jiang et al. 2014) used reanalysis data to investigate contributions to the stratospheric wave drag from three neighboring orographic wave sources (Patagonian peaks in the Andes, the Antarctic Peninsula, and South Georgia). There is also a long tradition of studying the wake structure behind islands both experimentally (Smith and Grubišić 1993; Young and Zawislak 2006; Grubišić et al. 2015) and theoretically (Schär and Smith 1993; Grubišić et al. 1995; Schär and Durran 1997). SG-WEX is innovative because it confronts high-resolution model simulations with both radiosonde and satellite observations to identify the ability of the model to represent GWs, and also the associated low-level flow blocking, without parameterization. It also uses an innovative method to analyze GWs from 3D satellite temperature retrievals, as detailed in the “Gravity wave analysis” section. SG-WEX focuses on South Georgia and provides the first reported radiosonde observations from this location.
The remoteness and nature of South Georgia present several challenges for field observations. Access to the island is far from straightforward. During SG-WEX scientists and equipment were successfully transported to King Edward Point (KEP; see Fig. 1), the base for the radiosonde launches, by the fisheries protection vessel Pharos, which makes semiregular trips from the Falkland Islands.
Two radiosonde campaigns were held during 2015, one in summer and one in winter. The first ran from 7 to 23 January 2015, and the second ran from 13 June to 7 July 2015. There were twice-daily launches at 1100 and 2300 UTC as standard from KEP. There were also periods of intensive launches (up to one balloon every 4 h) to coincide with overpasses by the A-Train satellite constellation (L’Ecuyer and Jiang 2010) or when strong winds perpendicular to the spine of the island were forecast by the Met Office (conditions favorable for strong mountain wave activity).
The stormy weather of the island made for challenging conditions for launching balloons on several occasions, and the steep terrain surrounding KEP meant that for certain balloon trajectories it was not possible to maintain line-of-sight communication with the radiosondes, so some data were inevitably lost. Nevertheless, despite these challenges there were 89 successful radiosonde launches in total, with 46 of these reaching altitudes above 25 km. The data gathered as part of SG-WEX form a unique dataset: the first summer and winter radiosonde observations of the GW activity in a region poorly observed by in situ and ground-based instruments.
In this paper we present a case study from 5 July 2015. Satellite and analysis data indicate this date as one when GWs with very high momentum flux were observed, with South Georgia being the likely orographic source. We focus on dedicated radiosonde observations made on South Georgia, and satellite observations from the Advanced Infrared Sounder (AIRS) and the Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT), complemented and guided by high-resolution UM simulations of GW generation and propagation around the island. In the following sections we describe the UM and the various observations used, show the results, and summarize the results and their possible global implications.
MODEL AND OBSERVATIONAL DATA.
UM simulations were conducted using the latest version of the Even Newer Dynamics for General Atmospheric Modeling of the Environment dynamical core (ENDGame; Wood et al. 2014). The improved stability of ENDGame results in a more accurate treatment of resolved GW motion, as discussed by Shutts and Vosper (2011).
Global UM simulations were conducted at N512 resolution (corresponding to an approximate grid length of 25 km at midlatitudes) with 70 height-based vertical levels up to a height of 80 km above mean sea level (MSL). The simulations were initialized with Met Office operational analyses and integrated forward in time for 24 h. These forecasts were reinitialized every 24 h and used to supply lateral boundary conditions for high-resolution limited area configurations over South Georgia. The limited area domains were centered on South Georgia and extended approximately 1,200 km in the east–west direction and 900 km in the north–south direction. The grids were defined relative to a rotated pole (at 35.5°N, 37.1°W) so as to make them close to Cartesian. Two such grids were used, with horizontal grid lengths of 750 m and 1.5 km. The model orography was created from the 3-arc-s resolution (∼90 m) Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) digital terrain dataset, averaged onto the model grid. On both grids the resulting orography contains much of the detail of the individual mountain peaks (see Fig. 1). These resolutions are designed to capture the local orographic generation of GWs and to simulate the low-level processes such as flow splitting, downslope winds, and wake generation. The simulations used 118 levels in the vertical within a deep model domain that extended into the mesosphere. The model lid was at 78 km MSL, with a damping layer applied above 58.5 km. The vertical grid spacing was less than 500 m from the surface to 20 km MSL, rising to 1 km at ∼35 km, 2 km at ∼60 km, and approximately 3 km at the model top. This grid has previously been shown to be sufficient to represent vertical propagation of GWs generated by South Georgia through the stratosphere (Vosper 2015). Given the high resolution, no additional GW parameterization was included in the limited-area simulations.
The 1.5-km simulations were conducted for the whole of both the summer and winter SG-WEX radiosonde campaigns (see the first section) and were free running, initialized once at the start of each run and then forced only by the lateral boundary conditions. Computing constraints meant that the 750-m simulations were used for selected shorter case studies only.
AIRS, which flies on NASA’s Aqua satellite, is a nadir sounder that measures the thermal emissions of atmospheric constituents. The data have been collected nearly continuously since September 2002. There are around 45 AIRS overpasses per week that cover a 5° × 5° box over South Georgia. Radiance measurements in the 4- and 15-µm CO2 bands are most suitable for observing gravity waves. Here, we use temperatures that have been retrieved using the methods described by Hoffmann and Alexander (2009). These retrievals focus on stratospheric temperature and have a horizontal resolution of around 13.5 km × 13.5 km at nadir and 41 km × 21.4 km at track edge, and a vertical resolution of 7–15 km. The dataset is sensitive to gravity waves with vertical wavelengths larger than about 15 km and horizontal wavelengths shorter than about 1,300 km. See Wright et al. (2017) for further discussion. The method to analyze the observed GW structure is detailed in the “Gravity wave analysis” section.
Four launches of Vaisala RS92-SGP radiosondes were made on 5 July 2015, but only one reached stratospheric altitudes (at 0853 UTC). The radiosonde was launched with an 800-g helium-filled balloon in surface conditions where winds were in excess of 7.7 m s−1. Strong winds during the wintertime cause the balloons to travel large horizontal distances (up to 650 km downwind during this campaign) before it bursts. Typically, we would expect a balloon of this type to reach burst altitudes in excess of 28 km. For this launch, however, the balloon burst just above 18 km. Data presented in the analysis are between 12 km (above the tropopause) and 18 km. The radiosonde data are composed of altitude profiles of temperature, wind speed, wind direction, pressure, humidity, and dewpoint at both 10- and 2-s resolution. The 2-s resolution data also contain the balloon ascent rate.
Winds derived from the ASCAT instruments allow us to evaluate the wake structure in the model. ASCAT instruments fly on board the MetOp-A and MetOp-B satellites, and the ASCAT data products (version 1.2) provide wind speed and direction at 10 m MSL along the satellite swath. The horizontal resolution is 25 km, and typically there are up to around eight passes a day over or close to South Georgia.
CASE STUDY, 5 JULY 2015.
Figure 2a shows that AIRS observed three rather strong GW events during SG-WEX. The first two events were not attributed to South Georgia being the orographic source, but for 5 July 2015 this is the case. During the entire 2015 winter season, AIRS observed only four island wave events with similar levels of activity. Accordingly, 5 July 2015 is a very good day for a case study. Furthermore, because real-time forecasts suggested conditions favorable for strong mountain wave generation and deep upward propagation, an enhanced number of launches were performed.
On this day, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) interim reanalysis (ERA-Interim) shows a deep (central pressure ∼950 hPa) surface low pressure system to the south of South Georgia and a weak ridge of high pressure extending southward toward the island from the subtropical South Atlantic (see Fig. 2b). The pressure gradient associated with these features drove strong (∼20 m s−1) low-level westerly (i.e., cross barrier) winds in the vicinity of South Georgia that were conducive to strong mountain wave generation. Furthermore, wind speeds increased monotonically with height to around 80 m s−1 at 40 km (see Fig. 2a), while wind directions remained within the southwesterly quadrant over this height range, providing favorable conditions for deep propagation of orographically generated waves into the stratosphere. Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) imagery shows cloudiness upstream of the island and fewer clouds downstream, which may be evidence for subsidence in the wake region (Fig. 2c). Very clear wave activity is seen in AIRS data in two time slots (0314 and 1644 UTC) on either side of the 0853 UTC radiosonde launch. The satellite data show a large-scale wave over South Georgia during this day, and the radiosonde track passes directly through it. Unfortunately, in this case the relatively low maximum altitude achieved by the balloon means that the radiosonde cannot detect the longer-vertical-wavelength GWs that would lend themselves to direct comparison with the satellite data.
In the following we begin by describing the GWs seen by AIRS and compare these with the UM-simulated waves. The vertical GW structure is then further examined using measurements from the 0853 UTC radiosonde. These are again compared with the UM GWs.
Gravity wave analysis.
The GW analysis of the AIRS retrievals detailed in the “Model and observational data” section is carried out using a three-dimensional (3D) Stockwell spectral transform (hereafter S-transform), as described by Wright et al. (2016, 2017). This builds on the 1D and 2D S-transforms previously used for GW analysis (Alexander and Barnet 2007; Hindley et al. 2016) and has the advantage that it addresses the strong cross-track bias problem inherent in the 1D and 2D approaches. The S-transform is used to measure GW amplitudes (in temperature), horizontal wavelengths, and directions of propagation from the AIRS data. To allow meaningful comparisons with the analysis of the satellite data, we apply the same techniques to the UM data.
Following the analysis of the AIRS data using the S-transform we still need to estimate the GW momentum flux. The 3D S-transform method allows us to directly measure the zonal, meridional, and vertical wavenumbers, so, unlike the commonly used method of Alexander et al. (2009), there is no need to assume zero phase speed or to use supplementary wind data. However, the method still assumes a long vertical extent and wavelength (>∼20 km) and a significant background wind speed (>∼40 m s−1). The increasing wind speeds at stratospheric altitudes foster the propagation of gravity waves with long vertical wavelengths (e.g., Fritts and Alexander 2003), which are best visible to AIRS.
Gravity wave temperature perturbations Tʹ are found by removing the background temperature state via a fourth-order polynomial fit method as described in Wright et al. (2017). The 3D S-transform then allows us to measure wave amplitude Tʹ and zonal, meridional, and vertical wavenumbers k, l, and m (Wright et al. 2017). Then, using the relation from Ern et al. (2004), the momentum flux in the zonal and meridional directions (Mx, My) can be computed as
where ρ is the background atmospheric density, g is acceleration due to gravity, and N is the Brunt–Väisälä frequency.
Gravity waves in AIRS data and the UM.
Figure 3 shows the momentum fluxes in the stratosphere (at 40 km MSL) computed from the GWs observed by AIRS and simulated by the UM at 1644 UTC 5 July 2015. The model results shown are for the 1.5-km simulation, but the equivalent results for the 750-m grid are very similar, which suggests that the 1.5-km simulation is sufficient. The momentum flux calculations are carried out at both the AIRS and UM resolutions, and we also analyze the UM data at AIRS resolution to indicate the impact of horizontal resolution. All analyses show enhanced momentum flux above the island, with much lower fluxes upstream and downstream, immediately to the east of the island. There is also enhanced momentum flux downstream to the northeast and southeast in a bow- or wake-shaped pattern, which suggests the presence of a quasi-stationary orographic GW field, generated by the strong westerly flow.
While the momentum flux patterns deduced from AIRS and the model are broadly similar, they do show a number of differences. The contrast between high-momentum flux over the island and low flux downstream is very marked in the UM, whereas for AIRS the pattern is more smeared. As a result, the AIRS data show a maximum momentum flux of over 500 mPa centered over southeastern South Georgia, compared to considerably larger maximum values in the UM-based analysis (locally exceeding 10 Pa), while there is a distinct region of low flux (less than 3 mPa) downstream of the island in the UM analysis that is not seen in the AIRS analysis. High fluxes also extend downwind of the island, with maxima of over 100 mPa (for AIRS) and over 500 mPa (for UM) extending toward the southeast.
The different resolutions of the two datasets clearly influence the results. When the analysis of the model data is repeated at AIRS resolution, the spatial pattern becomes more comparable to that from the analysis made from the AIRS observations. Encouragingly, the momentum flux magnitudes in the “UM at AIRS resolution” analysis are similar to or a little smaller than those derived from the native-resolution AIRS data. Separate downscaling tests indicate similar-sized reductions in GW temperature amplitude and GW momentum flux with reduced resolution, so it appears that the change in momentum flux amplitudes seen when we use UM data at AIRS resolution is chiefly a result of peak amplitude reduction due to area averaging and a reduced ability to see very short horizontal wavelengths.
Based on the above discussion, it appears the UM is doing a good job of reproducing the AIRS observations and indeed may plausibly be representing the GW pattern better because of the higher resolution: an example of this is the large zonal gradient in momentum flux seen going from the center to the east of the island.
Figure 4 compares GW momentum fluxes at different altitudes. The patterns are generally similar, which indicates that zero-phase-speed waves are dominant (as expected for an orographic source) and the lack of an obvious change of momentum flux with height indicates these waves are not breaking significantly within the 30–50-km region.
Gravity waves observed in radiosonde and UM data.
In this section we examine the gravity waves as seen in three radiosonde-type datasets: the original 2-s-resolution data (vertical spacing of ∼15 m), a so-called low-resolution radiosonde dataset averaged onto the UM vertical grid (approximately 400 m at 12 km MSL), and the UM simulated radiosonde profile, created by sampling the model data along the radiosonde trajectory. This examination provides insight as to whether errors in the model representation of the GWs can be explained in terms of vertical resolution.
Since the winds in the altitude region reach around ∼50 m s−1, the analysis techniques used here will be valid (Zink and Vincent 2001). Initially, the perturbations of horizontal wind, vertical wind, and temperature between 12.6- and 18-km altitude were extracted by subtracting a second-order polynomial fitted to the original profile. This is standard practice for radiosonde gravity wave analyses (Vincent et al. 1997) and work has shown that using other-order polynomials or filtering techniques like Kruse and Smith (2015) have little effect on the end result (Wang et al. 2005). The resulting perturbations are then assumed to be dominated by GW fluctuations. The radiosonde does not measure vertical velocity directly, but we assume that the ascent rate perturbation is equivalent to the vertical velocity perturbation wʹ (e.g., Geller and Gong 2010). The perturbation profiles are shown in Fig. 5.
There is reasonable agreement between the three profiles for the temperature perturbation, with the wave signal in the UM profile being slightly offset in altitude and of lower amplitude than in the radiosonde data. The horizontal wind perturbation profiles show a similar pattern to that observed in the temperature, with the UM perturbations again appearing offset in altitude and the agreement becoming poorer with increasing altitude. The model vertical perturbation profiles also appear to become increasingly out of phase with the radiosonde data at the higher end of the altitude range. This is consistent with the fact that small errors in the model wave field (e.g., in vertical wavelength) will result in a phase error that increased with altitude.
The radiosonde and model data were further analyzed to calculate the GW field kinetic (KE), potential (PE), and vertical energy (VE) density using Eqs. (2) from Lane et al. (2000). In these equations uʹ, υʹ, wʹ, and Tʹ are the zonal, meridional, and vertical wind and the normalized temperature perturbations, respectively, and N is the Brunt–Väisälä frequency. The results are shown in Fig. 6:
Figure 6 shows that the low-resolution radiosonde data do not always capture the full magnitude of the energy densities. The factor of difference between the low-resolution and radiosonde data is similar to that of their respective horizontal resolutions (∼85 km for the radiosonde data and ∼135 km for the low-resolution data). The model data have a similar problem that is not as clearly linked to the vertical- and horizontal-resolution factors. The expected phase shift seen in the perturbation profiles is also seen here. This suggests that fine vertical and horizontal resolution is required, both for observations and for modeling, in order to obtain accurate estimates of the GW energy density.
The properties of the GW packets in the lower stratosphere have been examined in further detail by applying wavelet transforms (Morlet wavelet with wo = 6) to the temperature perturbation profiles. The results (Fig. 7) show that there is a dominant wave measured in all three profiles across the altitude range, which has a vertical wavelength of ∼2.8 km. In the model this wave is centered around 1 km higher in altitude than that observed by the radiosonde, possibly consistent with the phase errors discussed earlier. The original radiosonde data capture wave activity down to shorter vertical wavelengths than the model-resolution data. From Fig. 6 it is clear that this is due to the higher variability, on shorter vertical scales, present in the full-resolution Tʹ profile.
Impact on low-level winds.
South Georgia also has significant impacts on the boundary layer flow during this case, with the generation of a low-level wake to the lee of the island. This is illustrated by Fig. 8a, which shows a composite of three ASCAT swaths (taken at 0921, 1015, and 1103 UTC 5 July). The scatterometer 10-m wind speeds upwind (to the west) of South Georgia are in the range of 16–20 m s−1 while a clear wake region of reduced speed (∼10 m s−1) extends for several tens of kilometers to the lee, and there is some apparent acceleration around the southern tip of the island. All these features resemble those presented by Hosking et al. (2015), and the latter (southern acceleration) also bears similarities to the tip jets observed around the southern end of Greenland (Doyle and Shapiro 1999; Moore and Renfrew 2005).
The equivalent model 10-m wind speeds are presented in Fig. 8b. Encouragingly, the simulated flow contains many of the features mentioned above in the ASCAT observations. The wake appears wider in the observations, but this is primarily due to the lower resolution of the ASCAT data.
The behavior of the wake around South Georgia has also been examined over the whole duration of the winter radiosonde campaign period during June and July 2015 by comparing the observed wakes in the ASCAT winds with those predicted in the continuously running 1.5-km UM simulation. The wake effects have been extracted from the observations by removing estimates of the large-scale varying background wind field derived from the global ERA-Interim (Dee et al. 2011). For the model, a background-flow field was obtained by running a companion set of simulations with the orography of South Georgia flattened to sea level, following Vosper (2015) and Vosper et al. (2016). The differences between the control and no-mountain wind field are then the perturbations due to the orography.
A simple measurement of the impact on the winds due to South Georgia is the fractional speed-up, defined as ∆s = (U − Ub)/Ub, where U is the wind speed and Ub is the background wind speed. The spatial variation of the mean ∆s, computed from the ASCAT data for periods where the (ERA-Interim) background wind direction over South Georgia was westerly (between 247.5° and 292.5°), is shown in Fig. 8c. The equivalent model wind field is shown in Fig. 8d. Both show a clear region of mean deceleration (a wake) to the east of South Georgia, with accompanying flanks where the flow is accelerated. Not surprisingly, the model contains more detail than can be detected by the satellite winds, but the similarity between the observations and model is nevertheless encouraging. Note that the regions of nonzero ∆s far away and upstream of the island are associated with differences between ASCAT winds and reanalysis and are unrelated to the wake effects. Figures 8e and 8f show the equivalent fractional speed-up for northerly flow (wind directions between 337.5° and 22.5°). The wake that extends to the south is very clear in both the observations and the model, and in this case an area of deceleration is also present on the upwind side of the island. This may be a sign of flow blocking, which happens upwind of mountain ranges when stable stratification is sufficiently strong. The level of agreement between the model and observations suggests that we can have some confidence in the use of high-resolution simulations such as these for understanding the impacts of these flows, such as wind-driven local ocean circulation (Hosking et al. 2015) and leeside temperature and moisture changes (Bannister and King 2015) and for developing parameterizations for use in coarse-resolution models (Vosper et al. 2016).
The preceding case study from 5 July 2015 illustrates the role of South Georgia in generating gravity waves and impacting the low-level flow.
An innovative method (the 3D S-transform) was used to analyze GWs from 3D AIRS temperature retrievals and high-resolution UM simulations. Both AIRS and the model simulations show evidence of orographic gravity waves being generated in a strong westerly flow, but also large resolution-dependent differences in the maximum GW momentum flux over and downstream of South Georgia. However, when account is taken of the differing resolutions of the AIRS data and the model, the GW patterns from both are much more alike. Vosper (2015) showed that the largest contribution to GW momentum flux over South Georgia is from horizontal wavelengths of around 30–60 km. Our results suggest that such wavelengths are present here and resolved by AIRS, but the GW momentum fluxes obtained from satellite measurements may be significantly underestimated when the wave fields contain important contributions from wavelengths that are too short to be detected. Accordingly, the model performs well in reproducing the AIRS observations and possibly provides a better estimate of the GW pattern and momentum fluxes because of its higher resolution.
Comparison between the dedicated radiosonde observations and the model also shows good agreement for temperature and horizontal wind perturbations in the lower stratosphere, although this degrades with increasing altitude. The model predictions become out of phase with the radiosonde measurements at the higher end of the altitude range. Wavelet transforms show that there is one dominant vertical wavelength across the altitude range and that the model wavelength is slightly shorter than that observed in the radiosonde profiles. Overall, the model provides a reasonable description of the observed GW energy density in the lower stratosphere, though it does not capture all the variability and underestimates the observed peak values.
South Georgia also generates a low-level wake to the lee of the island during this case (such wakes are seen in the lee of many islands globally, for example, Hawaii; e.g., Smith and Grubišić 1993). The model simulations contain many of the features detected in the ASCAT observations, and an extended study over the whole duration of the winter radiosonde campaign period shows this is true in general. There are clear wake signatures downstream of South Georgia during periods of both westerly and northerly flow.
Previous studies (Vosper 2015; Vosper et al. 2016) have indicated the importance of high resolution in modeling orographic GW impacts near South Georgia and have suggested a resolution of 1.5 km (for GW momentum flux) and 3–6 km (for low-level drag) may be required. However, there was an outstanding need to validate such results against detailed local measurements obtained in field campaigns, such as SG-WEX. This has been done here, and we show a high level of agreement between the model and observations. Furthermore, the results indicate that 1.5 km may be the maximum resolution required to simulate GW momentum flux over South Georgia, since our results were largely unchanged when the UM resolution was increased to 750 m.
We can thus have a high degree of confidence in using high-resolution simulations as a “truth” to develop parameterization schemes. This will be important in addressing the ongoing small-island problem in global weather forecast and climate models, which have a coarser resolution (typically several tens of kilometers), and also in properly simulating low-level wakes in the lee of not only South Georgia but also other islands like New Zealand and Hawaii, which can extend several hundreds of kilometers downstream. Parameterizations can be tuned to broadly represent the momentum flux and low-level drag but tend to show less intermittency than the resolved, high-resolution model fields. Further process studies, including further detailed analysis of SG-WEX radiosonde data, shall be carried out to better understand this problem and in particular how the findings from this case study can be generalized.
As part of SG-WEX, a meteor radar has been installed at South Georgia, and, in combination with the satellite and radiosonde data, this will enable us to observe GWs in the troposphere, stratosphere, and mesosphere over South Georgia. The data gathered as part of SG-WEX provide an exciting opportunity to advance the representation of gravity waves generated by small mountainous islands in models like the UM. Such improvements will allow us to represent significant effects from resolving the small-island problem that will improve climate forecasting
We thank Joan Alexander for helpful comments on draft versions of this paper, and Steve Colwell, the station leader, and staff of King Edward Point Research Station for assistance in planning and carrying out the radiosonde campaign. We would also like to thank the government of South Georgia and the South Sandwich Islands for their cooperation.
The SG-WEX project was supported by the Natural Environment Research Council (NERC) under Grants NE/K015117/1, NE/K012584/1, and NE/K012614/1. We also acknowledge use of the MONSooN system, a collaborative facility supplied under the Joint Weather and Climate Research Programme, a strategic partnership between the Met Office and NERC.
© 2018 American Meteorological Society.