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Pi-Huan Wang
,
Siu-Shung Hong
,
Mao-Fou Wu
, and
Adarsh Deepak

Abstract

The temporal and spatial variations of the zonally-averaged ozone beating rate in the middle atmosphere on a global scale are investigated in detail based on a model study. This study shows that the mean ozone heating rate calculation can be made in a realistic manner by taking advantage of the existing two-dimensional ozone distribution and including the effect of the sphericity of the earth's atmosphere. The obtained ozone heating rates have also been Fourier-analyzed. The common features of the first three harmonic components which correspond respectively to the annual, semiannual and terannual variations are (1) the local maximum amplitudes are located in the altitude regions between 45 and 57 km; (2) local maximum amplitude can be found in the polar region; and (3) maximum horizontal gradients of the beating rate are concentrated in the high latitudes from 60 to 90°. It is also found that the amplitude of the second Fourier component at the pole is about six times greater than that at the equator.

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Jonathan J. Gourley
,
Yang Hong
,
Zachary L. Flamig
,
Jiahu Wang
,
Humberto Vergara
, and
Emmanouil N. Anagnostou

Abstract

This study evaluates rainfall estimates from the Next Generation Weather Radar (NEXRAD), operational rain gauges, Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA), and Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks Cloud Classification System (PERSIANN-CCS) in the context as inputs to a calibrated, distributed hydrologic model. A high-density Micronet of rain gauges on the 342-km2 Ft. Cobb basin in Oklahoma was used as reference rainfall to calibrate the National Weather Service’s (NWS) Hydrology Laboratory Research Distributed Hydrologic Model (HL-RDHM) at 4-km/l-h and 0.25°/3-h resolutions. The unadjusted radar product was the overall worst product, while the stage IV radar product with hourly rain gauge adjustment had the best hydrologic skill with a Micronet relative efficiency score of −0.5, only slightly worse than the reference simulation forced by Micronet rainfall. Simulations from TRMM-3B42RT were better than PERSIANN-CCS-RT (a real-time version of PERSIANN-CSS) and equivalent to those from the operational rain gauge network. The high degree of hydrologic skill with TRMM-3B42RT forcing was only achievable when the model was calibrated at TRMM’s 0.25°/3-h resolution, thus highlighting the importance of considering rainfall product resolution during model calibration.

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Bin Yong
,
Jingjing Wang
,
Liliang Ren
,
Yalei You
,
Pingping Xie
, and
Yang Hong

Abstract

The Diaoyu Islands are a group of uninhabited islets located in the East China Sea between Japan, China, and Taiwan. Here, four mainstream gauge-adjusted multisatellite precipitation estimates [TRMM Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis, version 7 (TMPA-V7); CPC morphing technique–bias-corrected product (CMORPH-CRT); Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Networks–Climate Data Record (PERSIANN-CDR); and Global Satellite Mapping of Precipitation–gauge adjusted (GSMaP_Gauge)] are adopted to detect the rainfall characteristics of the Diaoyu Islands area with a particular focus on typhoon contribution. Out of the four products, CMORPH-CRT and GSMaP_Gauge show much more similarity both in terms of the spatial patterns and error structures because of their use of the same morphing technique. Overall, GSMaP_Gauge performs better than the other three products, likely because of denser in situ observations integrated in its retrieval algorithms over East Asia. All rainfall products indicate that an apparent rain belt exists along the northeastern 45° direction of Taiwan extending to Kyushu of Japan, which is physically associated with the Kuroshio. The Diaoyu Islands are located on the central axis of this rain belt. During the period 2001–09, typhoon-induced rainfall accounted for 530 mm yr−1, and typhoons contributed on average approximately 30% of the annual precipitation budget over the Diaoyu Islands. Higher typhoon contribution was found over the southern warmer water of the Diaoyu Islands, while the northern cooler water presented less contribution ratio. Supertyphoon Chaba, the largest typhoon of 2004, recorded 53 h of rainfall accumulation totaling 235 mm on the Diaoyu Islands, and this event caused severe property damage and human casualties for Japan. Hence, the Diaoyu Islands play an important role in weather monitoring and forecasting for the neighboring countries and regions.

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Zhangli Sun
,
Di Long
,
Zhongkun Hong
,
Mohamed A. Hamouda
,
Mohamed M. Mohamed
, and
Jianhua Wang

Abstract

Satellite-based and reanalysis precipitation estimates are an alternative and important supplement to rain gauge data. However, performance of China’s Fengyun (FY) satellite precipitation product and how it compares with other mainstream satellite and reanalysis precipitation products over China remain largely unknown. Here five satellite-based precipitation products (i.e., FY-2 precipitation product, IMERG, GSMaP, CMORPH, and PERSIANN-CDR) and one reanalysis product (i.e., ERA5) are intercompared and evaluated based on in situ daily precipitation measurements over mainland China during 2007–17. Results show that the performance of these precipitation products varies with regions and seasons, with better statistical metrics over wet regions and during warm seasons. The infrared–microwave combined precipitation [i.e., IMERG, GSMaP, and CMORPH, with median KGE (Kling–Gupta efficiency) values of 0.53, 0.52, 0.59, respectively] reveals better performance than the infrared-based only product (i.e., PERSIANN-CDR, with a median KGE of 0.31) and the reanalysis product (i.e., ERA5, with a median KGE of 0.43). IMERG performs well in retrieving precipitation intensity and occurrence over China, while GSMaP performs well in the middle to low reaches of the Yangtze River basin but poorly over sparsely gauged regions, e.g., Xinjiang in northwest China and the Tibetan Plateau. CMORPH performs well over most regions and has a greater ability to detect precipitation events than GSMaP. The FY-2 precipitation product can capture the overall spatial distribution of precipitation in terms of both precipitation intensity and occurrence (median KGE and CSI of 0.54 and 0.55), and shows better performance than other satellite precipitation products in winter and over sparsely gauged regions. Annual precipitation from different products is generally consistent, though underestimation exists in the FY-2 precipitation product during 2015–17.

Significance Statement

Intercomparison between the FY-2 precipitation product and mainstream precipitation products is valuable to guide applications of satellite precipitation products to China and its subregions. This study illustrates uncertainties in various satellite precipitation products, and could guide optimization of algorithms of precipitation retrieval and data fusion/merging to improve the accuracy and resolution of satellite precipitation products.

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Mei Hong
,
Dong Wang
,
Ren Zhang
,
Xi Chen
,
Jing-Jing Ge
, and
Dandan Yu

Abstract

Abnormal activity of the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) may result in extreme weather events in East Asia. However, because the relationship between the WPSH and other components of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) system is unknown, it is still difficult to forecast such abnormal activity. The delay-relevant method is used to study 2010 data for abnormal weather and it is concluded that the Indian monsoon latent heat flux, the Somali low-level jet, and the Tibetan high activity index can significantly affect anomalies in the WPSH in the EASM system. By combining genetic algorithms and statistical–dynamical reconstruction theory, a nonlinear statistical–dynamical model of the WPSH and these three influencing factors was objectively reconstructed from actual 2010 data and a dynamically extended forecasting experiment was carried out. To further test the forecasting performance of the reconstructed model, further experiments using data from nine abnormal WPSH years and eight normal WPSH years were performed for comparison. All the results suggest that the forecasts of the subtropical high area index, the Indian monsoon latent heat flux, the Somali low-level jet, and the Tibetan high activity index all have good performance in the short and medium terms (<25 days). Not only is the forecasting trend accurate, but the mean absolute percentage error is ≤9%. This work suggests new areas of research into the association between the WPSH and EASM systems and provides a new method for the prediction of the WPSH area index.

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Jongil Han
,
Weiguo Wang
,
Young C. Kwon
,
Song-You Hong
,
Vijay Tallapragada
, and
Fanglin Yang

Abstract

The current operational NCEP Global Forecast System (GFS) cumulus convection schemes are updated with a scale-aware parameterization where the cloud mass flux decreases with increasing grid resolution. The ratio of advective time to convective turnover time is also taken into account for the scale-aware parameterization. In addition, the present deep cumulus convection closure using the quasi-equilibrium assumption is no longer used for grid sizes smaller than a threshold value. For the shallow cumulus convection scheme, the cloud-base mass flux is modified to be given by a function of mean updraft velocity. A simple aerosol-aware parameterization where rain conversion in the convective updraft is modified by aerosol number concentration is also included in the update. Along with the scale- and aerosol-aware parameterizations, more changes are made to the schemes. The cloud-base mass-flux computation in the deep convection scheme is modified to use convective turnover time as the convective adjustment time scale. The rain conversion rate is modified to decrease with decreasing air temperature above the freezing level. Convective inhibition in the subcloud layer is used as an additional trigger condition. Convective cloudiness is enhanced by considering suspended cloud condensate in the updraft. The lateral entrainment in the deep convection scheme is also enhanced to more strongly suppress convection in a drier environment. The updated NCEP GFS cumulus convection schemes display significant improvements especially in the summertime continental U.S. precipitation forecasts.

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Yu Zhang
,
Yang Hong
,
Xuguang Wang
,
Jonathan J. Gourley
,
Xianwu Xue
,
Manabendra Saharia
,
Guangheng Ni
,
Gaili Wang
,
Yong Huang
,
Sheng Chen
, and
Guoqiang Tang

Abstract

Prediction, and thus preparedness, in advance of flood events is crucial for proactively reducing their impacts. In the summer of 2012, Beijing, China, experienced extreme rainfall and flooding that caused 79 fatalities and economic losses of $1.6 billion. Using rain gauge networks as a benchmark, this study investigated the detectability and predictability of the 2012 Beijing event via the Global Hydrological Prediction System (GHPS), forced by the NASA Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis at near–real time and by the deterministic and ensemble precipitation forecast products from the NOAA Global Forecast System (GFS) at several lead times. The results indicate that the disastrous flooding event was detectable by the satellite-based global precipitation observing system and predictable by the GHPS forced by the GFS 4 days in advance. However, the GFS demonstrated inconsistencies from run to run, limiting the confidence in predicting the extreme event. The GFS ensemble precipitation forecast products from NOAA for streamflow forecasts provided additional information useful for estimating the probability of the extreme event. Given the global availability of satellite-based precipitation in near–real time and GFS precipitation forecast products at varying lead times, this study demonstrates the opportunities and challenges that exist for an integrated application of GHPS. This system is particularly useful for the vast ungauged regions of the globe.

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Kai-Chieh Yang
,
Sen Jan
,
Yiing Jang Yang
,
Ming-Huei Chang
,
Joe Wang
,
Shih-Hong Wang
,
Steven R. Ramp
,
D. Benjamin Reeder
, and
Dong S. Ko

Abstract

Observations from a Seaglider, two pressure-sensor-equipped inverted echo sounders (PIESs), and a thermistor chain (T-chain) mooring were used to determine the waveform and timing of internal solitary waves (ISWs) over the continental slope east of Dongsha Atoll. The Korteweg–de Vries (KdV) and Dubreil–Jacotin–Long (DJL) equations supplemented the data from repeated profiling by the glider at a fixed position (depth ∼1017 m) during 19–24 May 2019. The glider-recorded pressure perturbations were used to compute the rarely measured vertical velocity (w) with a static glider flight model. After removing the internal tide–caused vertical velocity, the w of the eight mode-1 ISWs ranged from −0.35 to 0.36 m s−1 with an uncertainty of ±0.005 m s−1 due to turbulent oscillations and measurement error. The horizontal velocity profiles, wave speeds, and amplitudes of the eight ISWs were further derived from the KdV and DJL equations using the glider-observed w and potential density profiles. The mean speed of the corresponding ISW from the PIES deployed at ∼2000 m depth to the T-chain moored at 500 m depth and the 19°C isotherm displacement computed from the T-chain were used to validate the waveform derived from KdV and DJL. The validation suggests that the DJL equation provides reasonably representative wave speed and amplitude for the eight ISWs compared to the KdV equation. Stand-alone glider data provide near-real-time hydrography and vertical velocities for mode-1 ISWs and are useful for characterizing the anatomy of ISWs and validating numerical simulations of these waves.

Significance Statement

Internal solitary waves (ISWs), which vertically displace isotherms by approximately 100 m, considerably affect nutrient pumping, turbulent mixing, acoustic propagation, underwater navigation, bedform generation, and engineering structures in the ocean. A complete understanding of their anatomy and dynamics has many applications, such as predicting the timing and position of mode-1 ISWs and evaluating their environmental impacts. To improve our understanding of these waves and validate the two major theories based on the Korteweg–de Vries (KdV) and Dubreil–Jacotin–Long (DJL) equations, the hydrography data collected from stand-alone, real-time profiling of an autonomous underwater vehicle (Seaglider) have proven to be useful in determining the waveform of these transbasin ISWs in deep water. The solutions to the DJL equation show good agreement with the properties of mode-1 ISWs obtained from the rare in situ data, whereas the solutions to the KdV equation underestimate these properties. Seaglider observations also provide in situ data to evaluate the performance of numerical simulations and forecasting of ISWs in the northern South China Sea.

Open access
Shi-Xin Wang
,
Hong-Chao Zuo
,
Fen Sun
,
Li-Yang Wu
,
Yixing Yin
, and
Jing-Jia Luo

Abstract

Dynamics of the East Asian spring rainband are investigated with a reanalysis dataset and station observations. Here, it is revealed that the rainband is anchored by external forcings. The midtropospheric jet core stays quasi-stationary around Japan. It has two branches in its entry region, which originate from the south and north flanks of the Tibetan Plateau and then run northeastward and southeastward, respectively. The southern branch advects warm air from the Tibetan–Hengduan Plateau northeastward, forming a rainband over southern China through causing adiabatic ascent motion and triggering diabatic feedback. The rainband is much stronger in spring than in autumn due to the stronger diabatic heating over the Tibetan–Hengduan Plateau, a more southward-displaced midtropospheric jet, and the resulting stronger warm advection over southern China. The northern jet branch forms a zonally elongated cold advection belt, which reaches a maximum around northern China, and then weakens and extends eastward to east of Japan. The westerly jet also steers strong disturbance activities roughly collocated with the cold advection belt via baroclinic instability. The high disturbance activities belt causes large cumulative warm advection (CWA) through drastically increasing extremely warm advection days on its eastern and south flanks, where weak cold advection prevails. CWA is more essential for monthly/seasonally rainfall than conventionally used time-average temperature advection because it is shown that strengthened warm advection can increase rainfall through positive diabatic feedback, while cold advection cannot cause negative rainfall. Thus, the rainband is collocated with the large CWA belt instead of the warm advection south of it. This rainband is jointed to the rainband over southern China, forming the long southwest–northeast-oriented East Asian spring rainband. Increasing moisture slightly displaces the rainband southeastward.

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Xugeng Cheng
,
Jane Liu
,
Tianliang Zhao
,
Xiaoning Xie
,
Zhixiong Chen
,
Zhengguo Shi
,
Xinzhou Li
,
Hong Wang
,
Mengmiao Yang
, and
Nanjun Tang

Abstract

The Tibetan Plateau (TP) with a large landmass serves as an obstacle that hinders westerly flows and alters climate downwind. Here, we investigate the TP influence on the magnitude and spatial distribution of wintertime fine particulate matter (PM2.5) concentrations downwind and associated underlying mechanisms. Based on simulations using an Earth system model, we show that the removal of the TP would reduce surface PM2.5 concentrations by −30.4% in the Sichuan basin (SC) and by −12.4% in the North China Plain (NCP), but increase the concentrations by 18.1% in eastern China (EC), suggesting that the TP could naturally intensify PM2.5 pollution in SC and NCP. If the TP were absent, more meridional circulations would turn into zonal ones and the East Asian winter monsoon would become weaker. There would be less precipitation and lower humidity over SC and EC in the south, while the opposite occurs over NCP in the north. Consequently, the changes in circulations would result in a net outflow of PM2.5 from SC and NCP, but a net inflow of PM2.5 to EC. In response to the spatial changes in precipitation, wet deposition would decrease in SC and EC but increase in NCP. PM2.5 production would reduce in SC and EC but amplify in NCP, following the changes in humidity. In magnitude, the changes in transport and wet deposition would be dominant in SC and NCP, while in EC, transport, wet deposition, and chemical production would be equally important. This study illustrates significant and heterogeneous impacts of the TP on air quality downwind.

Open access