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- Author or Editor: Leonard M. Druyan x
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An automated scheme, based on statistical regression, uses four predictors derived from a single-station radiosonde profile to forecast precipitation for a 12 h period. Testing shows good correlation between predictions and observations but also the need for adjusting systematic errors.
An automated scheme, based on statistical regression, uses four predictors derived from a single-station radiosonde profile to forecast precipitation for a 12 h period. Testing shows good correlation between predictions and observations but also the need for adjusting systematic errors.
Radiosonde profiles of temperature and dew point at Bet Degan, Israel, are used to develop and test an objective procedure for making 12 h forecasts of precipitation by an approach suggested by Schell (1946) and Krown (1953). Verification of 62 forecasts based on the procedure showed 89% to be correct, although some degree of “overforecasting” of precipitation was evident. The verified skill compares favorably to the skill of official subjective forecasts made available to the public during the same season.
Radiosonde profiles of temperature and dew point at Bet Degan, Israel, are used to develop and test an objective procedure for making 12 h forecasts of precipitation by an approach suggested by Schell (1946) and Krown (1953). Verification of 62 forecasts based on the procedure showed 89% to be correct, although some degree of “overforecasting” of precipitation was evident. The verified skill compares favorably to the skill of official subjective forecasts made available to the public during the same season.
