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Mark L. Morrissey

Abstract

Theoretical and observational studies suggest that the equatorial western Pacific plays an important role in the origin and maintenance of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation phenomenon. Historical data within this critical region are sparse except for a scattering of island stations and a merchant shipping lane along 155°E. The usefulness of ship data along this track is assessed utilizing exploratory data analysis and analysis of variance. Systematic biases are revealed in the surface wind, pressure and sea surface temperature measurements. The noise level in the data is quantified using standard error estimates and signal-to-noise ratios associated with various time averages. It is shown that zonal wind is capable of detailing synoptic-scale variations. However, meridional wind, surface pressure and sea surface temperature are better suited for estimating lower frequency variations.

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John E. Janowiak
,
Philip A. Arkin
,
Pingping Xie
,
Mark L. Morrissey
, and
David R. Legates

Abstract

Very few (if any) in situ measurements of rainfall are available in the Pacific ITCZ east of the Line Islands (157°W). Hence, climatological datasets, which are assembled from various in situ sources, and satellite-derived analyses of precipitation are frequently relied upon to provide information on the distribution of rainfall in this important region. A substantial amount of disagreement exists among these information sources as demonstrated in this paper. In particular, the east–west gradient of estimated rainfall intensity in the eastern Pacific ITCZ is quite different during the Northern Hemisphere warm season among six different satellite algorithms (one infrared and five microwave) and two climatologies that are examined. Some of these data suggest that a local minimum in rainfall intensity is located near 140°W in the Pacific ITCZ during northern summer, with increasing intensity toward the east and west, while the others depict steadily decreasing rainfall intensity from west of the Americas to the date line. Conversely, all of the precipitation estimates that are examined depict a rainfall maximum in the Pacific ITCZ near 140°W during the Northern Hemisphere cool season, although the magnitudes vary substantially among them.

The authors examine estimates of seasonal mean rainfall over the eastern Pacific ITCZ (cast of the date line) from two rainfall climatologies and six satellite precipitation estimation techniques during July 1987 through June 1990. Inconsistencies among the precipitation analyses are investigated by examining several independent datasets that include atmospheric circulation data, sea surface temperature data, and ship reports of weather type.

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