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- Author or Editor: Masaki Satoh x
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Abstract
Hadley circulations in radiative–convective equilibrium are investigated using an idealistic axially symmetric model. Calculations show that the distribution of temperature in the Hadley cell is controlled by the moist process; the vertical profiles are close to the moist-adiabatic profile in the precipitating ascent branch, and the latitudinal distribution is nearly uniform. A sharp meridional temperature gradient exists within the poleward sloping boundary of the cell. Similar to Held and Hou, the latitudinal gradient of the vertically averaged temperature is determined by the cyclostrophic wind balance with the angular momentum–conserving flow in the upper layer.
The region where the Hadley cell exists can easily be predicted from the relationship between the profiles of the surface temperature and the vertically averaged temperature. Under the condition that the solar flux is specified, however, because of the interaction between the atmospheric circulation and the surface temperature, the behavior of the Hadley cell is a little more complicated. In particular, if the rotation rate is faster than or equal to the terrestrial value, two peaks of the upward motion exist on both sides of the equator.
Contrary to the traditional view of a steady indirect cell (the Ferrel cell), a systematic multicell structure exists in the middle and high latitudes. The horizontal scale of the cells is about 1000 km. They move equatorward at a speed of ∼1 m s−1.
Abstract
Hadley circulations in radiative–convective equilibrium are investigated using an idealistic axially symmetric model. Calculations show that the distribution of temperature in the Hadley cell is controlled by the moist process; the vertical profiles are close to the moist-adiabatic profile in the precipitating ascent branch, and the latitudinal distribution is nearly uniform. A sharp meridional temperature gradient exists within the poleward sloping boundary of the cell. Similar to Held and Hou, the latitudinal gradient of the vertically averaged temperature is determined by the cyclostrophic wind balance with the angular momentum–conserving flow in the upper layer.
The region where the Hadley cell exists can easily be predicted from the relationship between the profiles of the surface temperature and the vertically averaged temperature. Under the condition that the solar flux is specified, however, because of the interaction between the atmospheric circulation and the surface temperature, the behavior of the Hadley cell is a little more complicated. In particular, if the rotation rate is faster than or equal to the terrestrial value, two peaks of the upward motion exist on both sides of the equator.
Contrary to the traditional view of a steady indirect cell (the Ferrel cell), a systematic multicell structure exists in the middle and high latitudes. The horizontal scale of the cells is about 1000 km. They move equatorward at a speed of ∼1 m s−1.
Abstract
Cloud microphysics of deep convective systems over the tropical central Pacific simulated by a cloud system–resolving model using satellite simulators are evaluated in terms of the joint histogram of cloud-top temperature and precipitation echo-top heights. A control experiment shows an underestimation of stratiform precipitation and a higher frequency of precipitating deep clouds with top heights higher than 12 km when compared with data from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission. The comparison shows good agreement for horizontal distribution and statistical cloud size distributions of deep convective systems. Biases in the joint histogram are improved by changing cloud microphysics parameters of a single-moment bulk microphysics scheme. The effects of size distribution of precipitating hydrometeors are examined. Modification of the particle size distributions of rain, snow, and graupel size distributions based on observed relationships improves cloud precipitation statistics. This study implies that a single-moment bulk cloud microphysics scheme can be improved by employing comparison of satellite observations and diagnostic relationships.
Abstract
Cloud microphysics of deep convective systems over the tropical central Pacific simulated by a cloud system–resolving model using satellite simulators are evaluated in terms of the joint histogram of cloud-top temperature and precipitation echo-top heights. A control experiment shows an underestimation of stratiform precipitation and a higher frequency of precipitating deep clouds with top heights higher than 12 km when compared with data from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission. The comparison shows good agreement for horizontal distribution and statistical cloud size distributions of deep convective systems. Biases in the joint histogram are improved by changing cloud microphysics parameters of a single-moment bulk microphysics scheme. The effects of size distribution of precipitating hydrometeors are examined. Modification of the particle size distributions of rain, snow, and graupel size distributions based on observed relationships improves cloud precipitation statistics. This study implies that a single-moment bulk cloud microphysics scheme can be improved by employing comparison of satellite observations and diagnostic relationships.
Abstract
Statistics on high-altitude cloud areas associated with deep cumulus clouds and their sensitivities to cloud microphysics are studied in the framework of single-cloud experiments with an explicit cloud system–resolving model. A comprehensive six-category single-moment bulk cloud microphysics scheme is used to investigate parameter dependency. High-cloud areas are defined by the threshold values of the outgoing longwave radiation, and probability distribution functions of high-cloud areas are obtained. First, resolution dependencies on grid sizes of approximately 3.5, 7, and 14 km are examined. It is found that although quantitative differences are confirmed, diurnal variations in high-cloud covers are similarly captured by all three experiments conducted. The main focus of the sensitivity experiments of cloud microphysics is on the fall speed and number concentration, or mean radius, of ice particles. The results clearly show that the sum of snow and cloud ice amounts is closely related to high-cloud covers. Among the number of experiments conducted, one interesting result is that the intercept parameters of snow and graupel have opposite effects on high-cloud covers. As the intercept parameter of graupel increases, the graupel amount increases because of an increase in the accretion rate of cloud water by graupel, which results in a decrease in the amount of snow and hence a decrease in high-cloud covers. This implies that a greater production of graupel leads to an increase in precipitation efficiency.
Abstract
Statistics on high-altitude cloud areas associated with deep cumulus clouds and their sensitivities to cloud microphysics are studied in the framework of single-cloud experiments with an explicit cloud system–resolving model. A comprehensive six-category single-moment bulk cloud microphysics scheme is used to investigate parameter dependency. High-cloud areas are defined by the threshold values of the outgoing longwave radiation, and probability distribution functions of high-cloud areas are obtained. First, resolution dependencies on grid sizes of approximately 3.5, 7, and 14 km are examined. It is found that although quantitative differences are confirmed, diurnal variations in high-cloud covers are similarly captured by all three experiments conducted. The main focus of the sensitivity experiments of cloud microphysics is on the fall speed and number concentration, or mean radius, of ice particles. The results clearly show that the sum of snow and cloud ice amounts is closely related to high-cloud covers. Among the number of experiments conducted, one interesting result is that the intercept parameters of snow and graupel have opposite effects on high-cloud covers. As the intercept parameter of graupel increases, the graupel amount increases because of an increase in the accretion rate of cloud water by graupel, which results in a decrease in the amount of snow and hence a decrease in high-cloud covers. This implies that a greater production of graupel leads to an increase in precipitation efficiency.
Abstract
On the basis of numerical results of a three-dimensional model diagnosed using balance dynamics, a mechanism by which the upper-level warm core of tropical cyclones (TCs) forms is proposed. The numerical results reveal that an upper-level warm core develops when TCs intensify just prior to reaching the mature stage. Potential temperature budget analysis reveals that for the tendency of potential temperature, the azimuthal-mean component of advection is dominant at the upper level of the eye at the mature stage. Sawyer–Eliassen diagnosis shows that tendencies due to forced flow by diabatic heating and diffusion of tangential wind are dominant in the eye and are negatively correlated to each other. The distributions of the diabatic heating in the simulated TC are not peculiar. Therefore, it is unlikely that the heating distribution itself is the primary cause of the flow from the lower stratosphere. The analyses of forced circulations of idealized vortices show that the upper-level subsidence is enhanced in the eye when the vortex is sufficiently tall to penetrate the statically stable stratosphere. This result is deduced because the stronger inertial stability extends the response to the heating of the lower stratosphere and causes upper-level adiabatic warming. Therefore, the upper-level warm core emerges if angular momentum is transported into the lower stratosphere due to processes such as convective bursts. The present analysis suggests that TCs can be even stronger than that expected by theories in which the TC vortex is confined in the troposphere.
Abstract
On the basis of numerical results of a three-dimensional model diagnosed using balance dynamics, a mechanism by which the upper-level warm core of tropical cyclones (TCs) forms is proposed. The numerical results reveal that an upper-level warm core develops when TCs intensify just prior to reaching the mature stage. Potential temperature budget analysis reveals that for the tendency of potential temperature, the azimuthal-mean component of advection is dominant at the upper level of the eye at the mature stage. Sawyer–Eliassen diagnosis shows that tendencies due to forced flow by diabatic heating and diffusion of tangential wind are dominant in the eye and are negatively correlated to each other. The distributions of the diabatic heating in the simulated TC are not peculiar. Therefore, it is unlikely that the heating distribution itself is the primary cause of the flow from the lower stratosphere. The analyses of forced circulations of idealized vortices show that the upper-level subsidence is enhanced in the eye when the vortex is sufficiently tall to penetrate the statically stable stratosphere. This result is deduced because the stronger inertial stability extends the response to the heating of the lower stratosphere and causes upper-level adiabatic warming. Therefore, the upper-level warm core emerges if angular momentum is transported into the lower stratosphere due to processes such as convective bursts. The present analysis suggests that TCs can be even stronger than that expected by theories in which the TC vortex is confined in the troposphere.
Abstract
The cloud and precipitation simulated by a global nonhydrostatic model with a 3.5-km horizontal resolution, the Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral Atmospheric Model (NICAM), are evaluated using the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) and a satellite simulator. A previous study by Roh and Satoh evaluated the single-moment bulk microphysics and established the modified microphysics scheme for the specific tropical open ocean using a regional version of NICAM. In this study, the authors expanded the evaluation over the entire tropics and parts of the midlatitude areas (20°–36°S, 20°–36°N) using a joint histogram of the cloud-top temperature and precipitation echo-top heights and contoured frequency by altitude diagrams of the deep convective systems. The modified microphysics simulation improves the joint probability density functions of the cloud-top temperatures and precipitation cloud-top heights over not only the tropical ocean but also the land and midlatitude areas. Compared with the default microphysics simulation, the modified microphysics simulation shows a clearer distinction between the land and ocean in the tropics, which is related to the contrast between the shallow and the deep clouds. In addition, the two microphysics simulation methods were also compared over the tropics using joint histograms of the cloud-top and precipitation cloud-top heights on the basis of CloudSat measurements. It was found that the microphysics scheme that was modified for the tropical ocean displayed general cloud and precipitation improvements in the global domain over the tropics.
Abstract
The cloud and precipitation simulated by a global nonhydrostatic model with a 3.5-km horizontal resolution, the Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral Atmospheric Model (NICAM), are evaluated using the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) and a satellite simulator. A previous study by Roh and Satoh evaluated the single-moment bulk microphysics and established the modified microphysics scheme for the specific tropical open ocean using a regional version of NICAM. In this study, the authors expanded the evaluation over the entire tropics and parts of the midlatitude areas (20°–36°S, 20°–36°N) using a joint histogram of the cloud-top temperature and precipitation echo-top heights and contoured frequency by altitude diagrams of the deep convective systems. The modified microphysics simulation improves the joint probability density functions of the cloud-top temperatures and precipitation cloud-top heights over not only the tropical ocean but also the land and midlatitude areas. Compared with the default microphysics simulation, the modified microphysics simulation shows a clearer distinction between the land and ocean in the tropics, which is related to the contrast between the shallow and the deep clouds. In addition, the two microphysics simulation methods were also compared over the tropics using joint histograms of the cloud-top and precipitation cloud-top heights on the basis of CloudSat measurements. It was found that the microphysics scheme that was modified for the tropical ocean displayed general cloud and precipitation improvements in the global domain over the tropics.
Abstract
Based on the data of a 1-yr simulation by a global nonhydrostatic model with 7-km horizontal grid spacing, the relationships among warm-core structures, eyewall slopes, and the intensities of tropical cyclones (TCs) were investigated. The results showed that stronger TCs generally have warm-core maxima at higher levels as their intensities increase. It was also found that the height of a warm-core maximum ascends (descends) as the TC intensifies (decays). To clarify how the height and amplitude of warm-core maxima are related to TC intensity, the vortex structures of TCs were investigated. By gradually introducing simplifications of the thermal wind balance, it was established that warm-core structures can be reconstructed using only the tangential wind field within the inner-core region and the ambient temperature profile. A relationship between TC intensity and eyewall slope was investigated by introducing a parameter that characterizes the shape of eyewalls and can be evaluated from satellite measurements. The authors found that the eyewall slope becomes steeper (shallower) as the TC intensity increases (decreases). Based on a balanced model, the authors proposed a relationship between TC intensity and eyewall slope. The result of the proposed model is consistent with that of the analysis using the simulation data. Furthermore, for sufficiently strong TCs, the authors found that the height of the warm-core maximum increases as the slope becomes steeper, which is consistent with previous observational studies. These results suggest that eyewall slopes can be used to diagnose the intensities and structures of TCs.
Abstract
Based on the data of a 1-yr simulation by a global nonhydrostatic model with 7-km horizontal grid spacing, the relationships among warm-core structures, eyewall slopes, and the intensities of tropical cyclones (TCs) were investigated. The results showed that stronger TCs generally have warm-core maxima at higher levels as their intensities increase. It was also found that the height of a warm-core maximum ascends (descends) as the TC intensifies (decays). To clarify how the height and amplitude of warm-core maxima are related to TC intensity, the vortex structures of TCs were investigated. By gradually introducing simplifications of the thermal wind balance, it was established that warm-core structures can be reconstructed using only the tangential wind field within the inner-core region and the ambient temperature profile. A relationship between TC intensity and eyewall slope was investigated by introducing a parameter that characterizes the shape of eyewalls and can be evaluated from satellite measurements. The authors found that the eyewall slope becomes steeper (shallower) as the TC intensity increases (decreases). Based on a balanced model, the authors proposed a relationship between TC intensity and eyewall slope. The result of the proposed model is consistent with that of the analysis using the simulation data. Furthermore, for sufficiently strong TCs, the authors found that the height of the warm-core maximum increases as the slope becomes steeper, which is consistent with previous observational studies. These results suggest that eyewall slopes can be used to diagnose the intensities and structures of TCs.
Abstract
The cumulus model presented by Lindzen et al. for calculating one-dimensional radiative convective equilibria is examined. When only the balance of moist static energy is considered, the value of the convective mass flux Mc is required to be externally specified. Dependency of equilibrium solutions on Mc shows that an upper limit of the value of Mc exists above which the temperature in the region of upward motion is lower than that in the region of downward motion; that is, the buoyancy is negative. Lindzen et al. tried to specify the value of Mc by introducing the surface heat fluxes. However, it is found that the buoyancy of their solution is negative.
In order to obtain an appropriate equilibrium solution where the buoyancy is positive, the balance of kinetic energy, especially the dissipative process, should be considered. It is found that the value of Mc , which gives a realistic value of the dissipation rate, is close to the upper limit. In order to have a solution with a more realistic temperature profile, the model assumption that Mc is independent of time and height should be released.
Calculations on the greenhouse effect show that dependency of Mc on the total optical thickness changes sign within the range of the observed dissipation rate. The water vapor content at the tropopause becomes larger as the total optical thickness increases.
Abstract
The cumulus model presented by Lindzen et al. for calculating one-dimensional radiative convective equilibria is examined. When only the balance of moist static energy is considered, the value of the convective mass flux Mc is required to be externally specified. Dependency of equilibrium solutions on Mc shows that an upper limit of the value of Mc exists above which the temperature in the region of upward motion is lower than that in the region of downward motion; that is, the buoyancy is negative. Lindzen et al. tried to specify the value of Mc by introducing the surface heat fluxes. However, it is found that the buoyancy of their solution is negative.
In order to obtain an appropriate equilibrium solution where the buoyancy is positive, the balance of kinetic energy, especially the dissipative process, should be considered. It is found that the value of Mc , which gives a realistic value of the dissipation rate, is close to the upper limit. In order to have a solution with a more realistic temperature profile, the model assumption that Mc is independent of time and height should be released.
Calculations on the greenhouse effect show that dependency of Mc on the total optical thickness changes sign within the range of the observed dissipation rate. The water vapor content at the tropopause becomes larger as the total optical thickness increases.
Abstract
Using detailed radar observation data for Typhoon Faxai, which made landfall in the Tokyo metropolitan area in 2019, a sensitivity test of the boundary layer (BL) schemes for a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model was conducted for gray-zone numerical simulations with a grid spacing of 250 m. We compared the results of our simulations using an NWP model with radar observations that captured the BL and the secondary circulation structures of Faxai. We used three BL schemes based on a Reynolds-averaged model, the gray-zone model, and a large-eddy simulation (LES) model: the Mellor–Yamada–Nakanishi–Niino level 3 (MYNN3) scheme, the Anisotropic Deardorff Model (ADM) scheme, and the Deardorff (DDF) scheme, respectively. The turbulence kinetic energy was the smallest, and the inflow near Earth’s surface the strongest, in the gray-zone simulation with the DDF scheme. This simulation also produced values for BL thickness and secondary circulation that were the closest to observation and reproduced horizontal roll structures whose scale was larger than the observation. Neither experiment using the MYNN3 scheme or the ADM scheme produced rolls, but the parameterized turbulence seemed to estimate the effects of the rolls. However, their BL heights were higher than observed, suggesting that the MYNN3 and ADM schemes are not appropriate for a 250 m grid simulation of the present case. These results are also confirmed against LES with 50 m grid spacing in which the DDF scheme is used. In summary, this study provides insights into the interpretation of the properties of BL schemes in the gray zone.
Abstract
Using detailed radar observation data for Typhoon Faxai, which made landfall in the Tokyo metropolitan area in 2019, a sensitivity test of the boundary layer (BL) schemes for a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model was conducted for gray-zone numerical simulations with a grid spacing of 250 m. We compared the results of our simulations using an NWP model with radar observations that captured the BL and the secondary circulation structures of Faxai. We used three BL schemes based on a Reynolds-averaged model, the gray-zone model, and a large-eddy simulation (LES) model: the Mellor–Yamada–Nakanishi–Niino level 3 (MYNN3) scheme, the Anisotropic Deardorff Model (ADM) scheme, and the Deardorff (DDF) scheme, respectively. The turbulence kinetic energy was the smallest, and the inflow near Earth’s surface the strongest, in the gray-zone simulation with the DDF scheme. This simulation also produced values for BL thickness and secondary circulation that were the closest to observation and reproduced horizontal roll structures whose scale was larger than the observation. Neither experiment using the MYNN3 scheme or the ADM scheme produced rolls, but the parameterized turbulence seemed to estimate the effects of the rolls. However, their BL heights were higher than observed, suggesting that the MYNN3 and ADM schemes are not appropriate for a 250 m grid simulation of the present case. These results are also confirmed against LES with 50 m grid spacing in which the DDF scheme is used. In summary, this study provides insights into the interpretation of the properties of BL schemes in the gray zone.
Abstract
Motivated by the previous case study, this work shows that dynamical variations of mixed Rossby–gravity waves with tropical depression–type circulations (MRGTDs) are possible drivers of convective initiation and propagation of the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) by performing statistical analysis. MJO events initiated in the Indian Ocean (IO) in boreal winter are objectively identified solely using outgoing longwave radiation data. The lagged-composite analysis of detected MJO events demonstrates that MJO convection is initiated in the southwestern IO (SWIO), where strong MRGTD–convection coupling is statistically found. Further classification of MJO cases in terms of intraseasonal convection and MRGTD activities in the SWIO suggests that 26 of 47 cases are related to more enhanced MRGTDs, although they can also be secondarily affected by Kelvin waves. For those MRGTD-enhanced MJO events, MJO convective initiation is primarily triggered by low-level MRGTD circulations that develop via the enhancement of downward energy dispersion in accordance with upper-tropospheric baroclinic conversion. This is supported by the modulation of MRGTD structure associated with zonal wave contraction due to upper-tropospheric zonal convergence, and plentiful moisture advected into the western IO. Following this MRGTD-induced MJO triggering and midtropospheric premoistening in the IO contributed by MRGTD shallow circulations as well as intraseasonal winds during the MJO-suppressed phase, low-level MRGTD winds with eastward group velocity successively trigger convection to the east, which helps MJO convective propagation over the IO. The interannual atmospheric variability may affect whether the presented MRGTD-related processes are effective or not.
Abstract
Motivated by the previous case study, this work shows that dynamical variations of mixed Rossby–gravity waves with tropical depression–type circulations (MRGTDs) are possible drivers of convective initiation and propagation of the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) by performing statistical analysis. MJO events initiated in the Indian Ocean (IO) in boreal winter are objectively identified solely using outgoing longwave radiation data. The lagged-composite analysis of detected MJO events demonstrates that MJO convection is initiated in the southwestern IO (SWIO), where strong MRGTD–convection coupling is statistically found. Further classification of MJO cases in terms of intraseasonal convection and MRGTD activities in the SWIO suggests that 26 of 47 cases are related to more enhanced MRGTDs, although they can also be secondarily affected by Kelvin waves. For those MRGTD-enhanced MJO events, MJO convective initiation is primarily triggered by low-level MRGTD circulations that develop via the enhancement of downward energy dispersion in accordance with upper-tropospheric baroclinic conversion. This is supported by the modulation of MRGTD structure associated with zonal wave contraction due to upper-tropospheric zonal convergence, and plentiful moisture advected into the western IO. Following this MRGTD-induced MJO triggering and midtropospheric premoistening in the IO contributed by MRGTD shallow circulations as well as intraseasonal winds during the MJO-suppressed phase, low-level MRGTD winds with eastward group velocity successively trigger convection to the east, which helps MJO convective propagation over the IO. The interannual atmospheric variability may affect whether the presented MRGTD-related processes are effective or not.
Abstract
This study investigated the multiscale organization of tropical convection on an aquaplanet in a model experiment with a horizontal mesh size of 3.5 km (for a 10-day simulation) and 7 km (for a 40-day simulation). The numerical experiment used the nonhydrostatic icosahedral atmospheric model (NICAM) with explicit cloud physics.
The simulation realistically reproduced multiscale cloud systems: eastward-propagating super cloud clusters (SCCs) contained westward-propagating cloud clusters (CCs). SCCs (CCs) had zonal sizes of several thousand (hundred) kilometers; typical propagation speed was 17 (10) m s−1. Smaller convective structures such as mesoscale cloud systems (MCs) of O(10 km) and cloud-scale elements (<10 km) were reproduced. A squall-type cluster with high cloud top (z > 16 km) of O(100 km) area was also reproduced.
Planetary-scale equatorial waves (with wavelengths of 10 000 and 40 000 km) had a major influence on the eastward propagation of the simulated SCC; destabilization east of the SCC facilitated generation of new CCs at the eastern end of the SCC. Large-scale divergence fields associated with the waves enhanced the growth of deep clouds in the CCs. A case study of a typical SCC showed that the primary mechanism forcing westward propagation varies with the life stages of the CCs or with vertical profiles of zonal wind. Cold pools and synoptic-scale waves both affected CC organization. Cloud-scale elements systematically formed along the edges of cold pools to sustain simulated MCs. The location, movement, and duration of the MCs varied with the large-scale conditions.
Abstract
This study investigated the multiscale organization of tropical convection on an aquaplanet in a model experiment with a horizontal mesh size of 3.5 km (for a 10-day simulation) and 7 km (for a 40-day simulation). The numerical experiment used the nonhydrostatic icosahedral atmospheric model (NICAM) with explicit cloud physics.
The simulation realistically reproduced multiscale cloud systems: eastward-propagating super cloud clusters (SCCs) contained westward-propagating cloud clusters (CCs). SCCs (CCs) had zonal sizes of several thousand (hundred) kilometers; typical propagation speed was 17 (10) m s−1. Smaller convective structures such as mesoscale cloud systems (MCs) of O(10 km) and cloud-scale elements (<10 km) were reproduced. A squall-type cluster with high cloud top (z > 16 km) of O(100 km) area was also reproduced.
Planetary-scale equatorial waves (with wavelengths of 10 000 and 40 000 km) had a major influence on the eastward propagation of the simulated SCC; destabilization east of the SCC facilitated generation of new CCs at the eastern end of the SCC. Large-scale divergence fields associated with the waves enhanced the growth of deep clouds in the CCs. A case study of a typical SCC showed that the primary mechanism forcing westward propagation varies with the life stages of the CCs or with vertical profiles of zonal wind. Cold pools and synoptic-scale waves both affected CC organization. Cloud-scale elements systematically formed along the edges of cold pools to sustain simulated MCs. The location, movement, and duration of the MCs varied with the large-scale conditions.
