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  • Author or Editor: Simon F. B. Tett x
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Simon F. B. Tett
,
YoungHwa Cha
,
Kate Donovan
,
Gina-Maria Geffers
, and
Ed Hawkins

An extreme cloudburst on 4 July 2021 damaged Edinburgh Castle. Relative to preindustrial, and based on results from a convective permitting model, observed warming increased the risk by ∼30%, which further increases to ∼70% in a +2-K world.

Open access
Zhiyuan Hu
,
Haiyan Li
,
Jiawei Liu
,
Shaobo Qiao
,
Dongqian Wang
,
Nicolas Freychet
,
Simon F. B. Tett
,
Buwen Dong
,
Fraser C. Lott
,
Qingxiang Li
, and
Wenjie Dong
Open access
Chunhui Lu
,
Jie Jiang
,
Ruidan Chen
,
Safi Ullah
,
Rong Yu
,
Fraser C. Lott
,
Simon F. B. Tett
, and
Buwen Dong
Open access
Rouke Li
,
Delei Li
,
Nergui Nanding
,
Xuan Wang
,
Xuewei Fan
,
Yang Chen
,
Fangxing Tian
,
Simon F. B. Tett
,
Buwen Dong
, and
Fraser C. Lott
Open access
Sabine Undorf
,
Simon F. B. Tett
,
Joseph Hagg
,
Marc J. Metzger
,
Chris Wilson
,
Graham Edmond
,
Miranda Jacques-Turner
,
Stuart Forrest
, and
Marion Shoote
Full access
Haosu Tang
,
Jun Wang
,
Yang Chen
,
Simon F. B. Tett
,
Ying Sun
,
Lijing Cheng
,
Sarah Sparrow
, and
Buwen Dong

Current human-induced warming has led to approximately a 30-fold increase in the occurrence probability of 2021 northwestern Pacific concurrent marine and terrestrial summer heat.

Open access
Sabine Undorf
,
Simon F. B. Tett
,
Joseph Hagg
,
Marc J. Metzger
,
Chris Wilson
,
Graham Edmond
,
Miranda Jacques-Turner
,
Stuart Forrest
, and
Marion Shoote

Abstract

Anthropogenic climate change calls for rapid and enormous cuts in emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gases to mitigate future impacts. Even with these, however, many changes will continue to occur over the next 20–30 years adding to those already observed. Adaptation is crucial and urgent, but identifying strategies is complex and requires dialogue and cooperation among stakeholders, especially for infrastructure that exhibits interdependent risks in that failure in one type may impact others. A serious game was codeveloped with infrastructure operators to communicate climate projections and climate hazards to them; identify potential interdependencies, cascading impacts, cumulative effects, and vulnerability hot spots; and engage them to improve cooperation and enable a shared understanding of cross-cutting climate risks and interdependencies. In the game, players provide present-day infrastructure services in the Inverclyde district, Scotland, as they experience a plausible decade of 2050s weather characterized by a sequence of hazard events. This sequence was extracted from climate model projections to ensure scientific plausibility. The infrastructure operators were responsible for drinking water and gas supplies, road and rail transport, wastewater treatment, and civil infrastructure. When playing the game the participating U.K. infrastructure providers felt that although there were challenges, they could cope with 2050s climate change. None of the projected hazard events were anticipated to cause catastrophic impact cascades on infrastructure. The game was positively received, and the study suggests it is a useful tool to both communicate climate hazards and explore potential interdependent risks by bringing together stakeholders’ individual expertise in an engaging way.

Free access
Yang Chen
,
Wei Chen
,
Qin Su
,
Feifei Luo
,
Sarah Sparrow
,
David Wallom
,
Fangxing Tian
,
Buwen Dong
,
Simon F. B. Tett
, and
Fraser C. Lott
Full access
Wenxia Zhang
,
Wei Li
,
Lianhua Zhu
,
Yuanyuan Ma
,
Linyun Yang
,
Fraser C Lott
,
Chunxiang Li
,
Siyan Dong
,
Simon F B Tett
,
Buwen Dong
, and
Ying Sun
Free access
Liwen Ren
,
Dongqian Wang
,
Ning An
,
Shuoyi Ding
,
Kai Yang
,
Nicolas Freychet
,
Simon F. B. Tett
,
Buwen Dong
, and
Fraser C. Lott
Free access