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Marcia K. Politovich
,
R. Kent Goodrich
,
Corrinne S. Morse
,
Alan Yates
,
Robert Barron
, and
Steven A. Cohn

Abstract

The Juneau, Alaska, airport vicinity experiences frequent episodes of moderate and severe turbulence, which affect arriving and departing air traffic. The Federal Aviation Administration funded the National Center for Atmospheric Research to develop a warning system, consisting of carefully placed anemometers and wind profilers, along with data communications, an algorithm, and display, to warn pilots of potentially hazardous situations. The system uses regressions based on comparisons of research aircraft data with measurements from the ground-based sensors to estimate the turbulence intensity along selected flight paths. This paper describes the development of the turbulence warning system, from meteorological characteristics through sensor placement, algorithm construction and evaluation, and display design. The discussion includes how best estimates of winds were made in adverse meteorological and topographic conditions, how turbulence was calculated from aircraft conducting various flight maneuvers, how bad data were identified and removed from the system, how the regressors were selected, and the skill of the system.

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Florence Rabier
,
Aurélie Bouchard
,
Eric Brun
,
Alexis Doerenbecher
,
Stéphanie Guedj
,
Vincent Guidard
,
Fatima Karbou
,
Vincent-Henri Peuch
,
Laaziz El Amraoui
,
Dominique Puech
,
Christophe Genthon
,
Ghislain Picard
,
Michael Town
,
Albert Hertzog
,
François Vial
,
Philippe Cocquerez
,
Stephen A. Cohn
,
Terry Hock
,
Jack Fox
,
Hal Cole
,
David Parsons
,
Jordan Powers
,
Keith Romberg
,
Joseph VanAndel
,
Terry Deshler
,
Jennifer Mercer
,
Jennifer S. Haase
,
Linnea Avallone
,
Lars Kalnajs
,
C. Roberto Mechoso
,
Andrew Tangborn
,
Andrea Pellegrini
,
Yves Frenot
,
Jean-Noël Thépaut
,
Anthony McNally
,
Gianpaolo Balsamo
, and
Peter Steinle

The Concordiasi project is making innovative observations of the atmosphere above Antarctica. The most important goals of the Concordiasi are as follows:

  • To enhance the accuracy of weather prediction and climate records in Antarctica through the assimilation of in situ and satellite data, with an emphasis on data provided by hyperspectral infrared sounders. The focus is on clouds, precipitation, and the mass budget of the ice sheets. The improvements in dynamical model analyses and forecasts will be used in chemical-transport models that describe the links between the polar vortex dynamics and ozone depletion, and to advance the under understanding of the Earth system by examining the interactions between Antarctica and lower latitudes.

  • To improve our understanding of microphysical and dynamical processes controlling the polar ozone, by providing the first quasi-Lagrangian observations of stratospheric ozone and particles, in addition to an improved characterization of the 3D polar vortex dynamics. Techniques for assimilating these Lagrangian observations are being developed.

A major Concordiasi component is a field experiment during the austral springs of 2008–10. The field activities in 2010 are based on a constellation of up to 18 long-duration stratospheric super-pressure balloons (SPBs) deployed from the McMurdo station. Six of these balloons will carry GPS receivers and in situ instruments measuring temperature, pressure, ozone, and particles. Twelve of the balloons will release dropsondes on demand for measuring atmospheric parameters. Lastly, radiosounding measurements are collected at various sites, including the Concordia station.

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