Search Results

You are looking at 41 - 50 of 652 items for :

  • Regional effects x
  • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society x
  • Refine by Access: All Content x
Clear All
Linda O. Mearns, Melissa S. Bukovsky, Ruby Leung, Yun Qian, Ray Arritt, William Gutowski, Eugene S. Takle, Sébastien Biner, Daniel Caya, James Correia Jr., Richard Jones, Lisa Sloan, and Mark Snyder

The authors of Mearns et al. (2012) are aware of the role of driving RCMs with reanalyses and have written extensively on the roles of different types of regional climate models (RCMs) simulations (e.g., Giorgi and Mearns 1999 ; Leung et al. 2003 ). Thus, we agree that the skill of dynamical downscaling in which global reanalysis is used to provide boundary conditions in general indicates an upper bound of skill compared to dynamical downscaling in which the boundary conditions come from

Full access
D. S. Arndt, M. O. Baringer, and M. R. Johnson

Editors note: For easy download the posted pdf of the State of the Climate for 2009 is a low-resolution file. A high-resolution copy of the report is available by clicking here. Please be patient as it may take a few minutes for the high-resolution file to download.


The year was characterized by a transition from a waning La Niña to a strengthening El Niño, which first developed in June. By December, SSTs were more than 2.0°C above average over large parts of the central and eastern equatorial Pacific. Eastward surface current anomalies, associated with the El Niño, were strong across the equatorial Pacific, reaching values similar to the 2002 El Niño during November and December 2009. The transition from La Niña to El Niño strongly influenced anomalies in many climate conditions, ranging from reduced Atlantic basin hurricane activity to large scale surface and tropospheric warmth.

Global average surface and lower-troposphere temperatures during the last three decades have been progressively warmer than all earlier decades, and the 2000s (2000–09) was the warmest decade in the instrumental record. This warming has been particularly apparent in the mid- and high-latitude regions of the Northern Hemisphere and includes decadal records in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Europe, and the Arctic. The stratosphere continued a long cooling trend, except in the Arctic.

Atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations continued to rise, with CO2 increasing at a rate above the 1978 to 2008 average. The global ocean CO2 uptake flux for 2008, the most recent year for which analyzed data are available, is estimated to have been 1.23 Pg C yr−1, which is 0.25 Pg C yr−1 smaller than the long-term average and the lowest estimated ocean uptake in the last 27 years. At the same time, the total global ocean inventory of anthropogenic carbon stored in the ocean interior as of 2008 suggests an uptake and storage of anthropogenic CO2 at rates of 2.0 and 2.3 ±0.6 Pg C yr−1 for the decades of the 1990s and 2000s, respectively. Total-column ozone concentrations are still well below pre-1980 levels but have seen a recent reduction in the rate of decline while upper-stratospheric ozone showed continued signs of ongoing slow recovery in 2009. Ozone-depleting gas concentrations continued to decline although some halogens such as hydrochlorofluorocarbons are increasing globally. The 2009 Antarctic ozone hole was comparable in size to recent previous ozone holes, while still much larger than those observed before 1990. Due to large interannual variability, it is unclear yet whether the ozone hole has begun a slow recovery process.

Global integrals of upper-ocean heat content for the last several years have reached values consistently higher than for all prior times in the record, demonstrating the dominant role of the oceans in the planet's energy budget. Aside from the El Niño development in the tropical Pacific and warming in the tropical Indian Ocean, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) transitioned to a positive phase during the fall/winter 2009. Ocean heat fluxes contributed to SST anomalies in some regions (e.g., in the North Atlantic and tropical Indian Oceans) while dampening existing SST anomalies in other regions (e.g., the tropical and extratropical Pacific). The downward trend in global chlorophyll observed since 1999 continued through 2009, with current chlorophyll stocks in the central stratified oceans now approaching record lows since 1997.

Extreme warmth was experienced across large areas of South America, southern Asia, Australia, and New Zealand. Australia had its second warmest year on record. India experienced its warmest year on record; Alaska had its second warmest July on record, behind 2004; and New Zealand had its warmest August since records began 155 years ago. Severe cold snaps were reported in the UK, China, and the Russian federation. Drought affected large parts of southern North America, the Caribbean, South America, and Asia. China suffered its worst drought in five decades. India had a record dry June associated with the reduced monsoon. Heavy rainfall and floods impacted Canada, the United States, the Amazonia and southern South America, many countries along the east and west coasts of Africa, and the UK. The U.S. experienced its wettest October in 115 years and Turkey received its heaviest rainfall over a 48-hr period in 80 years.

Sea level variations during 2009 were strongly affected by the transition from La Niña to El Niño conditions, especially in the tropical Indo-Pacific. Globally, variations about the long-term trend also appear to have been influenced by ENSO, with a slight reduction in global mean sea level during the 2007/08 La Niña event and a return to the long-term trend, and perhaps slightly higher values, during the latter part of 2009 and the current El Niño event. Unusually low florida Current transports were observed in May and June and were linked to high sea level and coastal flooding along the east coast of the United States in the summer. Sea level significantly decreased along the Siberian coast through a combination of wind, ocean circulation, and steric effects. Cloud and moisture increased in the tropical Pacific. The surface of the western equatorial Pacific freshened considerably from 2008 to 2009, at least partially owing to anomalous eastward advection of fresh surface water along the equator during this latest El Niño. Outside the more variable tropics, the surface salinity anomalies associated with evaporation and precipitation areas persisted, consistent with an enhanced hydrological cycle.

Global tropical cyclone (TC) activity was the lowest since 2005, with six of the seven main hurricane basins (the exception is the Eastern North Pacific) experiencing near-normal or somewhat below-normal TC activity. Despite the relatively mild year for overall hurricane activity, several storms were particularly noteworthy: Typhoon Morakot was the deadliest typhoon on record to hit Taiwan; Cyclone Hamish was the most intense cyclone off Queensland since 1918; and the state of Hawaii experienced its first TC since 1992.

The summer minimum ice extent in the Arctic was the third-lowest recorded since 1979. The 2008/09 boreal snow cover season marked a continuation of relatively shorter snow seasons, due primarily to an early disappearance of snow cover in spring. Preliminary data indicate a high probability that 2009 will be the 19th consecutive year that glaciers have lost mass. Below normal precipitation led the 34 widest marine terminating glaciers in Greenland to lose 101 km2 ice area in 2009, within an annual loss rate of 106 km2 over the past decade. Observations show a general increase in permafrost temperatures during the last several decades in Alaska, northwest Canada, Siberia, and Northern Europe. Changes in the timing of tundra green-up and senescence are also occurring, with earlier green-up in the High Arctic and a shift to a longer green season in fall in the Low Arctic.

The Antarctic Peninsula continues to warm at a rate five times larger than the global mean warming. Associated with the regional warming, there was significant ice loss along the Antarctic Peninsula in the last decade. Antarctic sea ice extent was near normal to modestly above normal for the majority of 2009, with marked regional contrasts within the record. The 2008/09 Antarctic-wide austral summer snowmelt was the lowest in the 30-year history.

This 20th annual State of the Climate report highlights the climate conditions that characterized 2009, including notable extreme events. In total, 37 Essential Climate Variables are reported to more completely characterize the State of the Climate in 2009.

Full access
Jonathan Pleim, Rohit Mathur, S. T. Rao, Jerome Fast, and Alexander Baklanov

the following: improved numerical weather prediction by including the effects of aerosols and gases on radiation and cloud microphysics as well as improving satellite retrievals and data assimilation for NWP operations by providing more accurate profiles of aerosols and radiatively active gases; regional climate–chemistry modeling, including direct and indirect radiative forcing from short-lived climate forcers (SLCF); improved air quality modeling due to closer coupling of dynamical and chemical

Full access
Markku Rummukainen, Burkhardt Rockel, Lars Bärring, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, and Marcus Reckermann

Research on regional climate modeling has remarkably expanded during the last few years ( Arritt and Rummukainen 2011 ; Rummukainen 2010 ; WCRP 2014 ). This expansion can be seen in the increased number of research groups and world regions of interest to modelers and end users. But perhaps more importantly, the models used by the community are refined with additional complexity and operate on an increasingly finer spatial and vertical resolution. While these changes have given rise to new

Full access
W. J. Gutowski Jr, P. A. Ullrich, A. Hall, L. R. Leung, T. A. O’Brien, C. M. Patricola, R. W. Arritt, M. S. Bukovsky, K. V. Calvin, Z. Feng, A. D. Jones, G. J. Kooperman, E. Monier, M. S. Pritchard, S. C. Pryor, Y. Qian, A. M. Rhoades, A. F. Roberts, K. Sakaguchi, N. Urban, and C. Zarzycki

heterogeneity. Regional models have demonstrated added value over GCMs in resolving the significant spatial variations in temperature, circulation, and precipitation in such regions. Complex topography produces variations in temperature simply because of lapse rate effects, and when regional models such as WRF are driven by reanalysis, they reproduce these variations with a reasonable degree of realism (e.g., García-Díez et al. 2013 ; Walton et al. 2017 ). In addition, topography produces temperature

Free access
Pedro A. Jimenez, Jordi Vila-Guerau de Arellano, Jorge Navarro, and J. Fidel Gonzalez-Rouco

radiation, microphysics, and the representation of the effects produced by cumulus were analyzed in relation to regional climate modeling. Other representations such as the interaction of unresolved topography with the surface wind were also shown to be of relevance to provide more realistic atmospheric simulations ( Jimenez and Dudhia 2012 ). Special attention was paid to analyzing the physics of land surface models (LSMs). The importance of an accurate simulation of precipitation/snow process in order

Full access
Alexander Baklanov, Dominik Brunner, Gregory Carmichael, Johannes Flemming, Saulo Freitas, Michael Gauss, Øystein Hov, Rohit Mathur, K. Heinke Schlünzen, Christian Seigneur, and Bernhard Vogel

. Important feedbacks for climate and the other modeling communities have been identified by the COST Action ES1004. WHAT ARE THE EFFECTS OF METEOROLOGY ON THE ABUNDANCE AND PROPERTIES (CHEMICAL, MICROPHYSICAL, AND RADIATIVE) OF AEROSOLS ON URBAN–REGIONAl–GLOBAL SCALES? Many processes relevant for air quality depend on meteorological conditions. Some examples include the importance of wind and turbulence for the release of dust and sea salt aerosols, humidity for dry deposition, temperature for volatile

Open access
P. M. Ruti, S. Somot, F. Giorgi, C. Dubois, E. Flaounas, A. Obermann, A. Dell’Aquila, G. Pisacane, A. Harzallah, E. Lombardi, B. Ahrens, N. Akhtar, A. Alias, T. Arsouze, R. Aznar, S. Bastin, J. Bartholy, K. Béranger, J. Beuvier, S. Bouffies-Cloché, J. Brauch, W. Cabos, S. Calmanti, J.-C. Calvet, A. Carillo, D. Conte, E. Coppola, V. Djurdjevic, P. Drobinski, A. Elizalde-Arellano, M. Gaertner, P. Galàn, C. Gallardo, S. Gualdi, M. Goncalves, O. Jorba, G. Jordà, B. L’Heveder, C. Lebeaupin-Brossier, L. Li, G. Liguori, P. Lionello, D. Maciàs, P. Nabat, B. Önol, B. Raikovic, K. Ramage, F. Sevault, G. Sannino, M. V. Struglia, A. Sanna, C. Torma, and V. Vervatis

Mediterranean and in central Europe can further affect regional air quality, surface energy, and water budgets ( Lelieveld et al. 2002 ). Biomass burning and forest fires constitute another important source of carbonaceous aerosols in summer ( Sciare et al. 2008 ). It is thus clear that complex interactions and feedbacks involving ocean, atmosphere, land, and biogeochemical processes, along with the effects of complex morphological features, play a prominent role in modulating the climate of the

Full access
Ambarish V. Karmalkar

; Mearns et al. 2009 , 2012 ) and the Prediction of Regional Scenarios and Uncertainties for Defining European Climate Change Risks and Effects (PRUDENCE; Christensen et al. 2007 ) and Ensemble-Based Predictions of Climate Changes and Their Impacts (ENSEMBLES; Christensen et al. 2009 ; van der Linden and Mitchell 2009 ) projects for Europe. The GCMs participating in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5; Taylor et al. 2012 ) are now dynamically downscaled for many regions of

Open access
Riccardo Farneti, Stefano Salon, Alessandro Crise, and Rodney Martinez

Caribbean and Mediterranean countries. The mitigation and adaptation to climate change and anthropogenic pressures can therefore be envisioned in a holistic approach where science, economy, and society jointly participate at both national and regional levels for the identification, discussion, and adoption of the best practices to manage the sustainable exploitation of marine resources. Climate change in both the Caribbean and the Mediterranean basins is therefore tightly connected with the subjacent

Full access