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M. Hoerling, J. Eischeid, A. Kumar, R. Leung, A. Mariotti, K. Mo, S. Schubert, and R. Seager

temperatures for the entire 1895–2011 period (Fig. ES4) reveals no statistically significant relationship. The lack of such relationships between summer U.S. precipitation and sea surface temperatures has thwarted efforts at successful seasonal forecasting. Global SSTs have appreciably changed, however, since the occurrence of past major central plains droughts. Figure 6 presents two analyses for the SST anomalies of May–August 2012: one calculated relative to a 1901–90 climatology (top) that brackets

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