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Jakob W. Messner and Georg J. Mayr

In Messner and Mayr (2011) there is an extraneous factor hc / b in the last term of Eq. (2a). The correct equation is This is a mere editing mistake. All computations used the correct equation without the extra factor so the results in the paper are unaffected. We want to thank Daniel S. Wilks for pointing out this error. REFERENCE Messner , J. W. , and G. J. Mayr , 2011 : Probabilistic forecasts using analogs in the idealized Lorenz96 setting . Mon. Wea. Rev. , 139 , 1960 – 1971 .

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100percent greater than those in area B. Such statistics com-pare well with findings by Tracy [7] using the NHC-64technique.The distribution of forecast errors relative to path isalso quite interesting. Without exception, forecast erromare less for all forecast intervals for cyclone stages beforethe time of recurvature. After-recurva.ture areas for thestorm/hurricane stages are most frequently in C andnorthern sections of A as shown in [lo].The interrelationship of area and path are also

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. E.:and R. M. Endlich, R. L. Mancuso, and H. Shigeishi. Computa-tion of upper tropospheric reference heights from winds foruse with vertical temperature profile observations. 808.National Severe Storms Laboratory : radar echo maximum intensityNELSON, LOREN D.:display. 8.and Bernard A. Silverman. Optimization of warm-cloudseeding agents by microencapsulation techniques. 153.NEUMANN, CHARLES J.:and John R. Hope. Performance analysis of HURRAN tropi-cal cyclone forecast system. 245.Newfoundland

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