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Peter Black, Lee Harrison, Mark Beaubien, Robert Bluth, Roy Woods, Andrew Penny, Robert W. Smith, and James D. Doyle

1. Introduction Widely used tropical cyclone (TC) models include regional air–sea coupled dynamical models such as COAMPS-TC ( Jin et al. 2014 ), HWRF ( Tallapragada et al. 2014 ; Kim et al. 2014 ) and GFDL ( Bender et al. 2007 ; Gall et al. 2011 ); global dynamical models such as GFS and ECMWF; and statistical–dynamical intensity-prediction models such as SHIPS, the Statistical Typhoon Intensity Prediction Scheme (STIPS), the Logistic Growth Equation Model (LGEM), and the rapid intensity

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Daniel J. Cecil and Sayak K. Biswas

to account for small calibration drifts. To characterize the cold target, a radiative transfer model is applied to an assumed surface state and atmospheric profile. The same radiative transfer model is used for the wind speed retrieval discussed in section 3 . The sea surface temperature is taken from the multiscale ultrahigh resolution sea surface temperature ( https://mur.jpl.nasa.gov ). Surface wind speeds for the cold calibration targets are taken from dropsondes, with wind speeds less than

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