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Chul-Su Shin, Bohua Huang, Paul A. Dirmeyer, Subhadeep Halder, and Arun Kumar

, such as land–atmosphere feedbacks arising from the memory in land surface states, may still be underrealized ( Roundy and Wood 2015 ; Dirmeyer and Halder 2016 ). Recently, we conducted two sets of reforecasts initialized with two different land analyses for the period of 1979–2010 ( section 2 ; Shin et al. 2020 ). Since atmosphere, ocean, and sea ice initial states are identical for both sets of reforecasts, this identical-twin set of reforecasts isolates the effect of the uncertainty of the land

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Chul-Su Shin, Paul A. Dirmeyer, Bohua Huang, Subhadeep Halder, and Arun Kumar

initialized with land initial states based on two independent observation-based land surface analyses but with same initial states for other components such as atmosphere, ocean and sea ice. One land surface analysis is from the National Centers for Environment Prediction (NCEP) Coupled Forecast System (CFS) Reanalysis (CFSR; Saha et al. 2010 ) and the other is the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Global Land Data Assimilation System Version 2.0 (GLDAS-2) analysis ( Rodell et al. 2004

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