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Tobias Selz

investigated on a logarithmic x axis. 3. Results a. Time series of DKE As an example Fig. 2 shows the error growth of the geopotential of the July 2017 ensemble run over the Northern Hemisphere at four different forecast times. At time zero the ensemble members are identical and thus the five lines lie exactly on top of each other. After 7 days into the forecast one can see slight perturbation to the jet, which then grow further, and after about 14 days of simulation the ensemble members seem to be

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