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L. Jen Shaffer and Leocadia Naiene

food security threats. Focusing in on southern Mozambique, predictions for increasing El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) strength and frequency—and thus bigger, more frequent, droughts—emerge for the next century. ENSO strongly affects annual and interannual rainfall variation. Historic climate record analyses link ENSO to two-thirds of droughts in this region, and climate scientists suspect ENSO as the likely cause of increasingly erratic precipitation timing and amounts since 1984 ( Coelho and

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