Search Results

You are looking at 1 - 1 of 1 items for :

  • Author or Editor: Alexey Fedorov x
  • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society x
  • Refine by Access: Content accessible to me x
Clear All Modify Search
Eric Guilyardi
Andrew Wittenberg
Alexey Fedorov
Mat Collins
Chunzai Wang
Antonietta Capotondi
Geert Jan van Oldenborgh
, and
Tim Stockdale

Determining how El Niño and its impacts may change over the next 10 to 100 years remains a difficult scientific challenge. Ocean-atmosphere coupled general circulation models (CGCMs) are routinely used both to analyze El Niño mechanisms and teleconnections and to predict its evolution on a broad range of time scales, from seasonal to centennial. The ability to simulate El Niño as an emergent property of these models has largely improved over the last few years. Nevertheless, the diversity of model simulations of present-day El Niño indicates current limitations in our ability to model this climate phenomenon and to anticipate changes in its characteristics. A review of the several factors that contribute to this diversity, as well as potential means to improve the simulation of El Niño, is presented.

Full access