Abstract

A strong elevated temperature inversion in a landfalling winter storm in northern California produced two simultaneous melting layers with associated radar bright bands. The storm was observed with scanning and profiling radars. Serial radiosonde launches from the scanning radar site precisely documented the evolving temperature structure of the air mass that produced the double bright band. The radiosonde and radar observations, which were coincident in location and time, clearly illustrate the cause (two melting layers) and effect (two bright bands) of this unusual phenomenon. An automated algorithm for determining the melting-layer height from profiling radar data was tested on this situation. In its operational form, the algorithm detects only the lower melting layer, but in modified form it is capable of detecting both melting layers simultaneously.

Abstract

Prolonged periods (e.g., several days or more) of heavy precipitation can result in sustained high-impact flooding. Herein, an investigation of long-duration heavy precipitation events (HPEs), defined as periods comprising ≥3 days with precipitation exceeding the climatological 95th percentile, is conducted for 1979–2019 for the U.S. West Coast, specifically Northern California. An objective flow-based categorization method is applied to identify principal large-scale flow patterns for the events. Four categories are identified and examined through composite analyses and case studies. Two of the categories are characterized by a strong zonal jet stream over the eastern North Pacific, while the other two are characterized by atmospheric blocking over the central North Pacific and the Bering Sea–Alaska region, respectively. The composites and case studies demonstrate that the flow patterns for the HPEs tend to remain in place for several days, maintaining strong baroclinicity and promoting occurrences of multiple cyclones in rapid succession near the West Coast. The successive cyclones result in persistent water vapor flux and forcing for ascent over Northern California, sustaining heavy precipitation. For the zonal jet patterns, cyclones affecting the West Coast tend to occur in the poleward jet exit region in association with cyclonic Rossby wave breaking. For the blocking patterns, cyclones tend to occur in association with anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking on the downstream flank of the block. For Bering Sea–Alaska blocking cases, cyclones can move into this region in conjunction with cyclonically breaking waves that extend into the eastern North Pacific from the upstream flank of the block.

Abstract

This observational study of westward-directed gap flows through the Columbia River Gorge uses three radar wind profilers during two winter seasons between October 2015 and April 2017, with a focus on the gap-exit region at Troutdale, Oregon. Of the 92 gap-flow events identified at Troutdale, the mean duration was 38.5 h, the mean gap-jet speed was 12 m s⁻¹, and the mean gap-flow depth was 570 m MSL. The mean gap-jet height and gap-flow depth were situated below the top of the inner gorge, while a maximum depth of 1087 m MSL was contained within the gorge’s outer-wall rim. The mean gap-flow depth was deepest in the cold-air source region east of the gorge and decreased westward to the coast. Strong gap-flow events were longer lived, deeper, and capped by stronger vertical shear than their weak counterparts, and strong (weak) events were forced primarily by a cold-interior anticyclone (offshore cyclone). Deep gap-flow events were longer lived, stronger, and had weaker capping vertical shear than shallow events, and represented a combination of gap-flow and synoptic forcing. Composite temporal analysis shows that gap-flow strength (depth) was maximized midevent (early event), freezing rain was most prevalent during the second half of the event, and accumulated precipitation was greatest late-event. Gap-flow events tended to begin (end) during the evening (morning) hours and were most persistent in January. Surface wind gusts and snow occurrences around Portland, Oregon, were associated primarily with the deepest gap flows, whereas freezing rain occurred predominantly during shallow gap flows.

Abstract

Observations from northern California during the California Landfalling Jets (CALJET) experiment are used to examine the mean characteristics of precipitation and their variances as functions of synoptic and topographic regimes. Ten cases involving the landfall of extratropical cyclones are analyzed with radar and rain gauge data collected at two sites: one in the coastal mountains north of San Francisco (CZD) and the other in the Central Valley just west of Sacramento (KDAX). Aside from the melting-layer bright band, the most striking feature in the 10-case composite vertical profile of radar reflectivity at CZD was a distinct change in slope about 2.5 km above the bright band. This “shoulder” is thought to represent a change in the growth rate of hydrometeors. Although the bright band was quite distinct, about one-third of the profiles in the composite did not exhibit this feature. These nonbrightband (NBB) profiles had a low-level slope where reflectivity increased with decreasing altitude, a structure suggesting that collision–coalescence was the primary growth process. The relationship between surface rainfall rate and low-level radar reflectivity implies that all profiles were composed of larger numbers of small drops than expected from a Marshall–Palmer drop size distribution, a trend that was especially apparent for NBB profiles.

Synoptic variability of precipitation characteristics at CZD were examined by identifying five distinct regimes (cold sector, warm front, warm sector, cold front, and cool sector) based on a simplified conceptual model. The shoulder remained approximately 2.5 km above the bright band in each regime. Rainfall intensity was highest during the cold-frontal regime and NBB rainfall was most common during the warm-frontal, warm-sector, and cool-sector regimes. Topographic variability of precipitation characteristics was investigated by comparing results at CZD and KDAX. A shoulder structure located about 2.5 km above the bright band was also evident in the KDAX profiles, suggesting that this feature is related to large-scale dynamic, thermodynamic, and microphysical processes rather than orographic effects. The relationship between surface rainfall rate and low-level radar reflectivity near KDAX closely followed a trend expected for a Marshall–Palmer drop size distribution, implying the presence of relatively larger raindrops than observed at CZD and indicating that NBB rainfall occurs less frequently near KDAX.

Abstract

A multiscale analysis is presented of extreme precipitation events (EPEs) in Northern California during winter 2016–17, which caused flooding and contributed substantially to highly anomalous seasonal precipitation totals. The EPEs were characterized by long durations (≥7 days) and involved persistent large-scale flow patterns. The three largest EPEs involved blocking over the Bering Sea–Alaska region. A detailed investigation of the largest EPE, occurring on 2–10 February 2017, reveals that extreme precipitation was produced as four discrete cyclones moved across the eastern North Pacific equatorward of a high-amplitude blocking ridge and impacted the U.S. West Coast in rapid succession. The latter three cyclones developed and moved in conjunction with elongated negatively tilted troughs or PV streamers resulting from repeated episodes of baroclinic development and cyclonic Rossby wave breaking on the upstream flank of the block. Each of the four cyclones interacted with a PV streamer and an associated baroclinic zone established by anticyclonic wave breaking on the downstream flank of the block and, thereby, tracked into the U.S. West Coast. The serial clustering of the cyclones during the 9-day event resulted in persistent water vapor flux and lifting that supported extreme precipitation totals in Northern California. A climatological analysis for 1979–2017 reveals a significant statistical relationship between blocking over the Bering Sea–Alaska region and EPEs in Northern California, indicating that this type of blocking pattern represents a favorable large-scale scenario for extreme precipitation in Northern California.

Abstract

An objective algorithm presented in White et al. was applied to vertically pointing S-band (S-PROF) radar data recorded at four sites in northern California and western Oregon during four winters to assess the geographic, interannual, and synoptic variability of stratiform nonbrightband (NBB) rain in landfalling winter storms. NBB rain typically fell in a shallow layer residing beneath the melting level (<∼3.5 km MSL), whereas rainfall possessing a brightband (BB) was usually associated with deeper echoes (>∼6 km MSL). The shallow NBB echo tops often resided beneath the coverage of the operational Weather Surveillance Radar-1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) scanning radars yet were still capable of producing flooding rains.

NBB rain contributed significantly to the total winter-season rainfall at each of the four geographically distinct sites (i.e., 18%–35% of the winter-season rain totals). In addition, the rainfall observed at the coastal mountain site near Cazadero, California (CZD), during each of four winters was composed of a significant percentage of NBB rain (18%–50%); substantial NBB rainfall occurred regardless of the phase of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (which ranged from strong El Niño to moderate La Niña conditions). Clearly, NBB rain occurs more widely and commonly in California and Oregon than can be inferred from the single-winter, single-site study of White et al.

Composite NCEP–NCAR reanalysis maps and Geostationary Operational Environment Satellite (GOES) cloud-top temperature data were examined to evaluate the synoptic conditions that characterize periods of NBB precipitation observed at CZD and how they differ from periods with bright bands. The composites indicate that both rain types were tied generally to landfalling polar-cold-frontal systems. However, synoptic conditions favoring BB rain exhibited notable distinctions from those characterizing NBB periods. This included key differences in the position of the composite 300-mb jet stream and underlying cold front with respect to CZD, as well as notable differences in the intensity of the 500-mb shortwave trough offshore of CZD. The suite of BB composites exhibited dynamically consistent synoptic-scale characteristics that yielded stronger and deeper ascent over CZD than for the typically shallower NBB rain, consistent with the GOES satellite composites that showed 20-K warmer (2.3-km shallower) cloud tops for NBB rain. Composite soundings for both rain types possessed low-level potential instability, but the NBB sounding was warmer and moister with stronger low-level upslope flow, thus implying that orographically forced rainfall is enhanced during NBB conditions.

Abstract

The California Land-falling Jets Experiment (CALJET) was carried out along the California coast, and up to 1000-km offshore, during the winter of 1997/98 to study the underlying physical processes that cause flooding rains and high winds in the orographically complex coastal zone and to explore the impact of potential future observing systems on short-term (<24 h) quantitative precipitation and wind forecasts during the landfall of winter storms from the data-sparse eastern Pacific Ocean. Using the suite of experimental and operational observing systems that were available during CALJET, this study documented the mesoscale modification of an intense landfalling cyclone by the steep coastal orography on 3 February 1998. This storm heavily impacted the populous and highly vulnerable coastal zone of southern California with flooding rains, strong winds, and major beach erosion. A pair of landfalling cold-frontal zones produced most of the damaging weather, while the primary cyclone circulation remained offshore. Special attention is given to the development of blocking of the low-level flow by the steep coastal mountains of southern California and to the influence of this blocked flow on the observed nearshore frontal evolution. In particular, unique observations are presented of blocking-induced frontal splitting and frontal merging, as well as unparalleled documentation of terrain-forced frontal waves. The impact of these frontal modifications on rainfall distributions is explored. This study also provides clear observational evidence of the orographic modulation of a landfalling prefrontal low-level jet (LLJ) near the coast of southern California. This is especially important, given that LLJs efficiently transport moisture into the coastal mountains, often resulting in orographically enhanced flooding. The results described in this study have important generalized implications for understanding the complex interactions that occur between shallow blocked flows and landfalling winter storms along the mountainous west coast of North America and for understanding the impact of these interactions on rainfall, winds, and erosion in the coastal zone.

Abstract

Experimental observations from coastal and island wind profilers, aircraft, and other sensors deployed during the California Land-falling Jets Experiment of 1997/98 and the Pacific Land-falling Jets Experiment of 2000/01–2003/04 were combined with observations from operational networks to document the regular occurrence and characteristic structure of shallow (∼400–500 m deep), cold airstreams flowing westward through California’s Petaluma Gap from the Central Valley to the coast during the winter months. The Petaluma Gap, which is the only major air shed outlet from the Central Valley, is ∼35–50 km wide and has walls extending, at most, a modest 600–900 m above the valley floor. Based on this geometry, together with winter meteorological conditions typical of the region (e.g., cold air pooled in the Central Valley and approaching extratropical cyclones), this gap is predisposed to generating westward-directed ageostrophic flows driven by along-gap pressure differences. Two case studies and a five-winter composite analysis of 62 gap-flow cases are presented here to show that flows through the Petaluma Gap significantly impact local distributions of wind, temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric pollutants. These gap flows preferentially occur in pre-cold-frontal conditions, largely because sea level pressure decreases westward along the gap in a stably stratified atmosphere in advance of approaching cold-frontal pressure troughs. Airstreams exiting the Petaluma Gap are only several hundred meters deep and characterized by relatively cold, easterly flow capped by a layer of enhanced static stability and directional vertical wind shear. Airborne air-chemistry observations collected offshore by the NOAA P-3 aircraft illustrate the fact that gap-flow events can transport pollutants from inland to the coast, and that they can contribute to coastally blocked airstreams. The strongest gap-flow cases occur when comparatively deep midtropospheric troughs approach the coast, while the weak cases are tied to anticyclonic conditions aloft. Low-level cold-frontal pressure troughs approaching the coast are stronger and possess a greater along-gap pressure gradient for the strong gap-flow cases. These synoptic characteristics are dynamically consistent with coastal wind profiler observations of stronger low-level gap flow and winds aloft, and greater rainfall, during the strong gap-flow events. However, gap flow, on average, inhibits rainfall at the coast.

Abstract

The wettest period during the CalWater-2014 winter field campaign occurred with a long-lived, intense atmospheric river (AR) that impacted California on 7–10 February. The AR was maintained in conjunction with the development and propagation of three successive mesoscale frontal waves. Based on Lagrangian trajectory analysis, moist air of tropical origin was tapped by the AR and was subsequently transported into California. Widespread heavy precipitation (200–400 mm) fell across the coastal mountain ranges northwest of San Francisco and across the northern Sierra Nevada, although only modest flooding ensued due to anomalously dry antecedent conditions. A NOAA G-IV aircraft flew through two of the frontal waves in the AR environment offshore during a ~24-h period. Parallel dropsonde curtains documented key three-dimensional thermodynamic and kinematic characteristics across the AR and the frontal waves prior to landfall. The AR characteristics varied, depending on the location of the cross section through the frontal waves. A newly implemented tail-mounted Doppler radar on the G-IV simultaneously captured coherent precipitation features. Along the coast, a 449-MHz wind profiler and collocated global positioning system (GPS) receiver documented prolonged AR conditions linked to the propagation of the three frontal waves and highlighted the orographic character of the coastal-mountain rainfall with the waves’ landfall. A vertically pointing S-PROF radar in the coastal mountains provided detailed information on the bulk microphysical characteristics of the rainfall. Farther inland, a pair of 915-MHz wind profilers and GPS receivers quantified the orographic precipitation forcing as the AR ascended the Sierra Nevada, and as the terrain-induced Sierra barrier jet ascended the northern terminus of California’s Central Valley.

Abstract

To gain a more complete observational understanding of atmospheric rivers (ARs) over the data-sparse open ocean, a diverse suite of mobile observing platforms deployed on NOAA’s R/V Ronald H. Brown (RHB) and G-IV research aircraft during the CalWater-2015 field campaign was used to describe the structure and evolution of a long-lived AR modulated by six frontal waves over the northeastern Pacific during 20–25 January 2015. Satellite observations and reanalysis diagnostics provided synoptic-scale context, illustrating the warm, moist southwesterly airstream within the quasi-stationary AR situated between an upper-level trough and ridge. The AR remained offshore of the U.S. West Coast but made landfall across British Columbia where heavy precipitation fell. A total of 47 rawinsondes launched from the RHB provided a comprehensive thermodynamic and kinematic depiction of the AR, including uniquely documenting an upward intrusion of strong water vapor transport in the low-level moist southwesterly flow during the passage of frontal waves 2–6. A collocated 1290-MHz wind profiler showed an abrupt frontal transition from southwesterly to northerly flow below 1 km MSL coinciding with the tail end of AR conditions. Shipborne radar and disdrometer observations in the AR uniquely captured key microphysical characteristics of shallow warm rain, convection, and deep mixed-phase precipitation. Novel observations of sea surface fluxes in a midlatitude AR documented persistent ocean surface evaporation and sensible heat transfer into the ocean. The G-IV aircraft flew directly over the ship, with dropsonde and radar spatial analyses complementing the temporal depictions of the AR from the RHB. The AR characteristics varied, depending on the location of the cross section relative to the frontal waves.