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  • Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society x
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George C. Craig
,
Andreas H. Fink
,
Corinna Hoose
,
Tijana Janjić
,
Peter Knippertz
,
Audine Laurian
,
Sebastian Lerch
,
Bernhard Mayer
,
Annette Miltenberger
,
Robert Redl
,
Michael Riemer
,
Kirsten I. Tempest
, and
Volkmar Wirth

uncertainty in weather and climate predictions. Improving the treatment of cloud processes in models has been a research priority for many decades and is unlikely to have a quick solution. In W2W, we focus on a different question, and seek to quantify the uncertainty that our lack of knowledge of cloud processes creates, and to evaluate its contribution to limiting the overall predictability of the atmosphere. One type of error is structural uncertainty. These are uncertainties associated with errors in

Open access
Andreas Schäfler
,
George Craig
,
Heini Wernli
,
Philippe Arbogast
,
James D. Doyle
,
Ron McTaggart-Cowan
,
John Methven
,
Gwendal Rivière
,
Felix Ament
,
Maxi Boettcher
,
Martina Bramberger
,
Quitterie Cazenave
,
Richard Cotton
,
Susanne Crewell
,
Julien Delanoë
,
Andreas Dörnbrack
,
André Ehrlich
,
Florian Ewald
,
Andreas Fix
,
Christian M. Grams
,
Suzanne L. Gray
,
Hans Grob
,
Silke Groß
,
Martin Hagen
,
Ben Harvey
,
Lutz Hirsch
,
Marek Jacob
,
Tobias Kölling
,
Heike Konow
,
Christian Lemmerz
,
Oliver Lux
,
Linus Magnusson
,
Bernhard Mayer
,
Mario Mech
,
Richard Moore
,
Jacques Pelon
,
Julian Quinting
,
Stephan Rahm
,
Markus Rapp
,
Marc Rautenhaus
,
Oliver Reitebuch
,
Carolyn A. Reynolds
,
Harald Sodemann
,
Thomas Spengler
,
Geraint Vaughan
,
Manfred Wendisch
,
Martin Wirth
,
Benjamin Witschas
,
Kevin Wolf
, and
Tobias Zinner

of the North Atlantic waveguide, NAWDEX also offered a unique opportunity to explore HIW predictability. To the best of our knowledge, the NAWDEX period provides the most complete set of combined wind, humidity, temperature, and cloud profile observations of the North Atlantic jet stream yet assembled. This dataset will form the basis of detailed case studies and evaluations of weather and climate prediction models for many years. The widespread coverage of high-resolution multivariate cross

Full access