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M. Hoerling, J. Eischeid, A. Kumar, R. Leung, A. Mariotti, K. Mo, S. Schubert, and R. Seager

upcoming season. The full information of ensemble prediction systems, in particular the spread information contained in such tools, can thus not be readily incorporated into current practices for U.S. drought forecasting. Further research is also required on evaluating the spread information on drought statistics from such ensemble modeling systems. Much has yet to be learned about the robustness of spreads across multimodels and how those spreads differ when examined in simulation mode (using

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