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Aristeidis G. Koutroulis, Aggeliki-Eleni K. Vrohidou, and Ioannis K. Tsanis

incorporated into the respective large-scale forcing, which could be given by global climate models ( Van der Linden and Mitchell 2009 ; Jacob et al. 2008 ) using observed GHG concentrations until 2000 and SRES A1B concentrations until 2100.The ENSEMBLES domain includes continental Europe at 0.22° horizontal resolution. Results of the SRES A1B climate change scenario ( Solomon et al. 2007 ) over Europe for the period 1973–2100 was applied to basins in the island of Crete. The 10 RCMs ( Table 4 ) used for

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D. Gerten, J. Heinke, H. Hoff, H. Biemans, M. Fader, and K. Waha

year 2099 were derived from 17 GCMs under forcing from the SRES A2 and B1 emissions scenario (those models were chosen for which both B1 and A2 projections were available). All GCMs participated in the World Climate Research Programme’s Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 3 (CMIP3; http://www-pcmdi.llnl.gov/projects/cmip/index.php ) and were used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report ( Randall et al. 2007 ; see Table 1 ). The climate scenarios

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