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Hanoi Medina, Di Tian, Fabio R. Marin, and Giovanni B. Chirico

to spatial inconsistencies at the boundaries between tiles ( Hamill and Whitaker 2006 ; Hamill et al. 2006 ). However, this is not an issue present in this study. Leave-one-out cross validation are carried out by excluding the current year from the list of potential analogs. For a detailed description and theoretical basis of the analog method, the readers can refer to Hamill and Whitaker (2006) . 2) Logistic regression method In the logistic regression (LR) method a nonlinear function is

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Yaling Liu, Dongdong Chen, Soukayna Mouatadid, Xiaoliang Lu, Min Chen, Yu Cheng, Zhenghui Xie, Binghao Jia, Huan Wu, and Pierre Gentine

water demand, and thus SM could also be a crucial factor affecting socioeconomic conditions. Despite the criticality of SM in the Earth system, accurate estimation of large-scale soil moisture is still a challenge, mainly due to its rapid fluctuations and the lack of sufficient ground truth observations. Currently, most large-scale SM products are either retrieved from satellite data or produced from land surface models (LSMs). As an example of product derived from satellites, the European Space

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