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Eric F. Wood, Siegfried D. Schubert, Andrew W. Wood, Christa D. Peters-Lidard, Kingtse C. Mo, Annarita Mariotti, and Roger S. Pulwarty

existed some large-scale factors that might enhance the probability of such an extreme event, they conducted climate model simulations that revealed a regime shift toward warmer and drier summertime Great Plains conditions during the recent decade. This shift, most likely due to natural decadal variability, is such that the probability for a severe summer Great Plains drought may have increased fivefold in the last decade compared to the 1980s and 1990s. Wang et al. (2014) compared the roles played

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Jason A. Otkin, Martha C. Anderson, Christopher Hain, Iliana E. Mladenova, Jeffrey B. Basara, and Mark Svoboda

significant yield loss, with impacts on both local and global economies signified through reduced economic output and higher grain and food prices. Long-term drought may lead to lower reservoir levels and depleted groundwater levels that could also limit the productivity of irrigated cropland because of water shortages and smaller water allocations. Although drought is often thought of as a slowly developing climate phenomenon that can take several months or even years to reach its maximum intensity

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