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Wen-wen Tung, Dimitrios Giannakis, and Andrew J. Majda

-term weather forecasts and long-term climate projections ( Waliser 2005 ). Observational studies of the seasonality of tropical intraseasonal variability have shown that the MJO signals migrate latitudinally with the seasonal cycle, peaking during boreal winter (e.g., Wang and Rui 1990 ; Wheeler and Hendon 2004 ; Zhang and Dong 2004 ; Masunaga 2007 ; Kikuchi et al. 2012 ). The strongest boreal winter MJO signals in deep convection and precipitation are asymmetric about the equator, especially in the

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