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T. Ghosh and T. N. Krishnamurti

. Those historical values led to the construction of consensus forecasts using the principle of learning through experience. The concept of an artificial neural network (ANN) is used here to find an optimum consensus output (forecast) from the different model forecasts. This methodology works following the way the human brain makes a decision. For example, a child is shown a chair and is told the name of the object “chair” repeatedly. This is called the learning (training) phase. After some time, if

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David R. Ryglicki, Joshua H. Cossuth, Daniel Hodyss, and James D. Doyle

midlevel center (“C”). As a result of the tilt and thermal wind balance, there is a vortex-deep cold anomaly associated with the tilt (“D”). Individual convective cells that rise under and into the tilt are themselves buoyant. At the top of the TC, crescent-shaped arc clouds are emitted upshear (“E”; blue coloring is meant to mimic the WV imagery color scale described later). Transparent images over the low-level center (“L”) are projections of the mid- and upper levels at the surface. The green

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