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Yochanan Kushnir, Richard Seager, Mingfang Ting, Naomi Naik, and Jennifer Nakamura

that the model ensembles ( Figs. 4c–f ) display a rather successful simulation during both winter and summer months. Notably, the TAGA response ( Figs. 4e,f ) is stronger than that of GOGA ( Figs. 4c,d ). This seems consistent with the stronger convection response in TAGA over the TNA region. 5. Linear model results As described in section 2 , the linear model was forced with the tropical-band, three-dimensional diabatic heating field, which was derived by regressing the TAGA ensemble

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