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Richard Seager, Jennifer Nakamura, and Mingfang Ting

diminished or enhanced precipitation and favoring drought onset or termination. Both a cold (warm) tropical Pacific and warm (cold) tropical North Atlantic favor decreased (increased) precipitation over the southern Plains ( Schubert et al. 2009 ; Kushnir et al. 2010 ; Nigam et al. 2011 ; Seager et al. 2014 ; Pu et al. 2016 ). To simulate this, the models must need to forecast the SST, the connection of that to diabatic heating in the atmosphere and the driving of Rossby waves and then the connection

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