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Bin Guan, Duane E. Waliser, and F. Martin Ralph

seasonal and geographical variations in the two AR measures, first regionally, then globally. 2. Data and methodology a. Reanalyses and AR detection Global fields of specific humidity and vector winds are provided by two reanalysis products, namely, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) interim reanalysis (ERA-Interim; Dee et al. 2011 ) and the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, version 2 (MERRA

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Allison B. Marquardt Collow, Michael G. Bosilovich, and Randal D. Koster

extreme precipitation events and how they will change in the future will help enable the precautions needed to protect society from such events, for example, through more accurate forecasts. While it is quite possible that the increasing trend in extreme precipitation events will continue into the future, there is considerable uncertainty ( IPCC 2013 ; Janssen et al. 2014 ). The frequency of extreme precipitation events in the Northeast varies by season, and this frequency has changed over time

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