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Carl Wunsch and Patrick Heimbach

atmospheric state in the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis ( Kalnay et al. 1996 ), which is derived from a weather forecast model now with global conservation constraints and employed here using bulk formulas. A value this large is implausible, and one would hope that there are adequate oceanic data on upper-layer temperatures and steric changes that would force its reduction. Although the value may well be reduced with further optimization iterations, there is no evidence that the oceanic data, within error bars, are

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