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Lars Wiegand, Arwen Twitchett, Cornelia Schwierz, and Peter Knippertz

° grid. More details on TIGGE are available in, for example, Bougeault et al. (2010) and Froude (2010 , her Table 1). For the verification of the different ensemble prediction systems, analysis data from each TIGGE center and additionally several observational products were considered. These include the gridded precipitation data from the ENSEMBLES E-OBS dataset ( Haylock et al. 2008 ), and a satellite product based on brightness temperature differences from three infrared channels measured by the

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Yannick Barton, Paraskevi Giannakaki, Harald von Waldow, Clément Chevalier, Stephan Pfahl, and Olivia Martius

provided by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) through their website ( http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/mjo/ ). To study the water level of the Lago Maggiore, the Locarno station daily mean water level data were used. The data from 1961 to 2012 were provided by the Swiss Federal Office for the Environment. Outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) information stems from the Liebmann and Smith (1996) dataset. Finally, globally merged (70°N–70°S) gridded (8-km grid spacing) infrared brightness temperature

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