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Richard Seager, Jennifer Nakamura, and Mingfang Ting

phase 2 (NLDAS-2): 2. Validation of model-simulated streamflow . J. Geophys. Res. , 117 , D03110 , https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JD016051 . Yang , S. , K. Lau , and K. Kim , 2002 : Variations of the East Asian jet stream and Asian–Pacific–American winter climate anomalies . J. Climate , 15 , 306 – 325 , https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<0306:VOTEAJ>2.0.CO;2 . 10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<0306:VOTEAJ>2.0.CO;2 Zhao , S. , Y. Deng , and R. X. Black , 2018 : An

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Yizhou Zhuang, Amir Erfanian, and Rong Fu

prediction of the U.S. climate becomes especially difficult in summer as the jet stream and the storm track move farther north and the precipitation regime shifts from a dominantly frontal precipitation to a tropical-like convective regime with a more regional and local character and an enhanced influence of land surface conditions (e.g., Myoung and Nielsen-Gammon 2010 ). Over the Great Plains, summer holds the largest share (>40%) of annual precipitation and variability of its rainfall exerts a strong

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