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Jeremiah O. Piersante, Russ. S. Schumacher, and Kristen L. Rasmussen

months were included to highlight how precipitation forecast skill is lowest during the warm season; the change in error with season is discussed throughout the paper. All members were run via the Advanced Research version of the Weather and Forecasting (WRF) Model ( Skamarock et al. 2008 ) version 3.7.1 with RRTMG radiation ( Iacono et al. 2008 ), Noah land surface ( Tewari et al. 2004 ), 43 vertical levels, a 90-s time step, and GFS initial/lateral boundary conditions (except for one that uses GEFS

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