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Peter Knippertz and Andreas H. Fink

strong signal the spread between individual members is large with 13 cases even having positive anomalies over northwestern Africa (not shown). The MSLP signal indicates a largely barotropic structure with negative anomalies of more than 5 hPa over the Mediterranean Sea. The area with reduced MSLP stretches as far south as northern Nigeria with only weak impacts on the low-level moisture field at this stage. The CLAUS BT anomalies ( Fig. 11b ) are positive to the southwest of the upper trough, where

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