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A. D. McGuire, J. E. Walsh, J. S. Kimball, J. S. Clein, S. E. Euskirchen, S. Drobot, U. C. Herzfeld, J. Maslanik, R. B. Lammers, M. A. Rawlins, C. J. Vorosmarty, T. S. Rupp, W. Wu, and M. Calef

Introduction Global surface air temperature has warmed substantially since the middle of the nineteenth century ( Jones and Moberg 2003 ). This warming has been particularly strong in all latitudinal regions since about 1980 ( Alley et al. 2003 ; Johannessen et al. 2004 ). Between 1970 and 2000, surface air temperature over terrestrial regions between 50° and 70°N has increased approximately 0.35°C decade −1 ( McGuire et al. 2006 ; Euskirchen et al. 2007 ). The recent warming in high

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