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Paraskevi Giannakaki and Olivia Martius

convection over North America ( Rodwell et al. 2013 ). Forecast errors closely follow the time evolution of the waves ( Davies and Didone 2013 ) and propagate with the group velocity of the waves ( Langland et al. 2002 ; Anwender et al. 2008 ). These errors can have significant impacts on forecasting extreme weather events. For example, Fehlmann and Davies (1997) and Schlemmer et al. (2010) show that an underestimation of the meridional extent of breaking synoptic-scale Rossby waves over western

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