Search Results

You are looking at 1 - 2 of 2 items for :

  • Operational forecasting x
  • Hurricane and Severe Storm Sentinel (HS3) x
  • Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences x
  • Refine by Access: All Content x
Clear All
Erin B. Munsell, Fuqing Zhang, Jason A. Sippel, Scott A. Braun, and Yonghui Weng

1. Introduction Over the past 5 years, considerable effort has been directed toward improving tropical cyclone (TC) intensity prediction. Despite this effort, the operational prediction of tropical cyclone formation and significant changes in intensity, such as rapid intensification (RI) or decay, remain particularly challenging ( Elsberry et al. 2007 ). These TC forecasts are typically characterized by considerable uncertainty, though past studies have demonstrated the ability of ensemble

Full access
E. P. Nowottnick, P. R. Colarco, S. A. Braun, D. O. Barahona, A. da Silva, D. L. Hlavka, M. J. McGill, and J. R. Spackman

consideration for operational forecasting centers that do not include aerosol interaction in their forecasts, as our simulations demonstrate that the degree of dust interaction can have significant impacts on the track of tropical systems. Acknowledgments We thank Oreste Reale for valuable discussion on simulating tropical systems with aerosol interactions using GEOS-5. This work and the HS3 mission were funded by NASA’s Earth Venture Suborbital program at NASA Headquarters. Simulations were performed at

Full access