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James D. Doyle, Jonathan R. Moskaitis, Joel W. Feldmeier, Ronald J. Ferek, Mark Beaubien, Michael M. Bell, Daniel L. Cecil, Robert L. Creasey, Patrick Duran, Russell L. Elsberry, William A. Komaromi, John Molinari, David R. Ryglicki, Daniel P. Stern, Christopher S. Velden, Xuguang Wang, Todd Allen, Bradford S. Barrett, Peter G. Black, Jason P. Dunion, Kerry A. Emanuel, Patrick A. Harr, Lee Harrison, Eric A. Hendricks, Derrick Herndon, William Q. Jeffries, Sharanya J. Majumdar, James A. Moore, Zhaoxia Pu, Robert F. Rogers, Elizabeth R. Sanabia, Gregory J. Tripoli, and Da-Lin Zhang

-57 flight track (solid line) and dropsonde launch locations (diamonds) for the two TCI flights over Marty, overlaid on Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) infrared imagery centered on the time the aircraft was over the storm. Potential development of Marty off the Pacific coast of Mexico was noted in the 10-day European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble and deterministic forecasts as early as 16 September. It was not until much later, though, that

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