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Yochanan Kushnir, Richard Seager, Mingfang Ting, Naomi Naik, and Jennifer Nakamura

such events is important for future planning and predictions. The present work is concerned with these aspects as they affect interannual-to-decadal time-scale variability. Recent modeling studies indicate that the main regulating mechanism of interannual and multiyear variability of precipitation in the American West and northern Mexico, are low-frequency fluctuations in tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures (SSTs). It is well known that tropical Pacific SSTs exhibit large fluctuations with a

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