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Xi Chen, Yongqin David Chen, and Zhicai Zhang

limitations of computing power, conceptual and often lumped-parameter models mainly focus on the simulation of aggregated output (total streamflow) at the watershed outlet and usually cannot offer sufficient details and accurate estimation of water fluxes in a spatially heterogeneous domain. Although these watershed hydrological models have been widely and successfully used in flood forecasting and regional water resources planning ( Shen 1992 ; Guo et al. 1997 ; Xu and Guo 1994 ), they cannot simulate

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Richard G. Lawford, John Roads, Dennis P. Lettenmaier, and Phillip Arkin

patterns. Through the Global Land–Atmosphere System Study (GLASS), GEWEX has developed plans to study the effects of land use change on surface temperatures and precipitation. Henderson-Sellers et al. (1993) demonstrated that these changes can be very large. Plans are being developed by the GLASS Panel for a more comprehensive study of the potential contributions of land use change to climate variability and change by using six global climate models in a comparison of the preindustrial and the

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