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Richard Seager, Lisa Goddard, Jennifer Nakamura, Naomi Henderson, and Dong Eun Lee

imposed allowing land surfaces to warm and the atmospheric circulation to adjust to the changes in radiative properties. The other model is the European Centre-Hamburg model, version 4.5 (ECHAM4.5; Roeckner et al. 1996 ), and we use a 24-member ensemble from 1950 on available in the International Research Institute for Climate and Society Data Library ( ). We also use the NCEP–NCAR reanalysis and the Interim European Centre

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Hongshuo Wang, Jeffrey C. Rogers, and Darla K. Munroe

, 435 – 438 , doi: 10.1038/nature11575 . Sims, A. P. , Niyogi D. S. , and Raman S. , 2002 : Adopting drought indices for estimating soil moisture: A North Carolina case study . Geophys. Res. Lett. , 29 , 1183 , doi: 10.1029/2001GL013343 . Tsang, L. , Pan J. , Liang D. , Li Z. , Cline D. W. , and Tan Y. , 2007 : Modeling active microwave remote sensing of snow using dense media radiative transfer (DMRT) theory with multiple-scattering effects . IEEE T. Geosci. Remote , 45

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