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Ademola K. Braimoh and Paul L. G. Vlek

be associated with avoidance of risk of flooding, which is usually high at the beginning of the rainy season. In the second period, an increase in distance from water did not affect the likelihood of conversion to cropland (OR = 1). An increase in distance from roads decreased the likelihood of conversion to cropland by a factor of 0.9 in the first period, whereas in the second period an increase in distance from roads did not affect the likelihood of conversion to cropland. The likelihood of

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