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Krzysztof Wargan and Lawrence Coy

. 2005 ), 2006 ( Manney et al. 2008 ), 2009 ( Manney et al. 2009 ; Harada et al. 2010 ), 2010, and 2013 ( Coy and Pawson 2015 ), compared to the one-sigma envelope calculated from MERRA-2 over all 12 winters. The anomalies are computed by subtracting the 2004–15 mean for each analysis time (eight times per day) separately, effectively “de-seasonalizing” the time series. There were two other major SSWs during that period, in 2007 and 2008, but they were weaker and briefer than the others considered

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