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Fuqing Zhang, Yonghui Weng, Jason A. Sippel, Zhiyong Meng, and Craig H. Bishop

analysis begins to localize the precipitation into two primary bands. The first band is located along the Gulf coast of Texas and Louisiana to the east and northeast of Houston, and the other is farther west but far south of the display domain. This compares much more favorably to the observations (though the convection in the EnKF analysis is still weaker and broader partly due to the ensemble averaging effects discussed above). At 0000 UTC 13 September, during the storm’s rapid intensification, the

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