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Eric F. Wood, Siegfried D. Schubert, Andrew W. Wood, Christa D. Peters-Lidard, Kingtse C. Mo, Annarita Mariotti, and Roger S. Pulwarty

’s ability to quantitatively detect (for monitoring) or forecast (for prediction) drought. The performance metrics can be extended, but in general should define criteria that separate drought conditions from other system states and describe key geophysical drought features that are of interest to decision makers in applications sectors and that are motivated by societal impacts. Examples include the onset, severity, duration, and change in intensity of a drought variable. Metrics should be assessed by

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