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Richard G. Lawford, John Roads, Dennis P. Lettenmaier, and Phillip Arkin

societal benefits that accurate seasonal forecasts promise to provide. Koster et al. (2000) have assessed the effects of soil moisture on the predictability of seasonal precipitation over the continents and found that soil moisture effects exceed those of SST contributions in some areas during the summer months. These effects are discussed in more detail in the following section. 3. The response of surface hydrology Land–atmosphere interactions vary according to the wetness of the surface. Surface

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