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Matthew D. Parker, Brett S. Borchardt, Rachel L. Miller, and Conrad L. Ziegler

events (e.g., flash floods). A substantial number of warm season derechos (severe, long-lived convective wind storms) have also been associated with nocturnal MCSs (e.g., Johns and Hirt 1987 ). Given their societal importance, it is unsatisfying that predictions of nocturnal convective systems have typically lagged in comparison to other kinds of precipitation systems ( Olson et al. 1995 ; Davis et al. 2003 ; Fritsch and Carbone 2004 ; Weisman et al. 2008 ; Peters et al. 2017 ). Nocturnal

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Tammy M. Weckwerth, Kristy J. Weber, David D. Turner, and Scott M. Spuler

1996 ; Weckwerth et al. 1996 ; Weckwerth 2000 ; Lin et al. 2011 ). Forecasters have noted the value of real-time GPS precipitable water vapor (PWV) observations in detecting rapid moisture increases to improve their high-impact weather forecasting skill (e.g., Moore et al. 2015 ). When humidity profiles from a microwave radiometer profiler (MWRP) and Atmospheric Emitted Radiance Interferometer (AERI; Knuteson et al. 2004a , b ) were assimilated, along with temperature and wind profiles

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