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Rolf H. Langland, Christopher Velden, Patricia M. Pauley, and Howard Berger

increases in the amount and quality of observations as well as improvements in forecast models and data assimilation procedures ( Goerss and Hogan 2006 ). The use of multimodel ensembles for “consensus forecasts” is also providing improved guidance to forecasters for TC track prediction ( Goerss 2000 ). However, significant societal and economic value can still be gained by additional increases in the accuracy of track forecasts for landfalling tropical cyclones. In recent years, the use of “targeted

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