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F. M. Ralph, E. Sukovich, D. Reynolds, M. Dettinger, S. Weagle, W. Clark, and P. J. Neiman

1. Introduction One of the greatest challenges in meteorology is the prediction of precipitation, particularly the accurate prediction of extreme precipitation events (i.e., events with large precipitation amounts). Recent surveys of public use of forecast information ( Lazo et al. 2009 ) have documented that precipitation prediction (e.g., the location, timing, and amount of precipitation) is the most heavily utilized part of standard forecasts. This general public demand for precipitation

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