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N. Dodd
,
J. Oltman-Shay
, and
E. B. Thornton

Abstract

Low-frequency (<0.01 Hz) oscillations in the surf zone longshore current with wavelengths too small (<300 m) to be surface gravity waves were observed during the 1986 SUPERDUCK experiment at Duck, North Carolina. The observations suggest that these oscillations are dynamically linked to the mean longshore current in the surf zone, leading Bowen and Holman to propose that the observed oscillations are manifestations of a shear instability in the longshore current. In this paper, field data from both the SUPERDUCK experiment (a barred beach) and the l980 NSTS experiment, at Leadbetter Beach, Santa Barbara, California (a plane beach), are used to compare quantitatively the model of Bowen and Holman (which is extended to include the effects of dissipation due to bottom friction) with observation. Observed frequency-cyclic wavenumber (f-K) spectra (constructed from alongshore arrays of velocity measurements made in about 1.5–2 m of water in the trough of the bar at SUPERDUCK, and in about 1 m at NSTS) are compared with theoretical predictions. Quantitative agreement is found between observation and theory at SUPERDUCK, where these motions dominate the observed f-K spectra, theoretical growth rates of the temporal instability tend to be large, and the mean longshore current varied between 0.35 and 1.0 m s−1. This comparison supports the shear instability hypothesis. Results from Leadbetter Beach (where the mean longshore current was always less than 0.5 m s−1) are less conclusive because of scatter in the observed f-K spectra; however, observation and theory agree on the f-K quadrant and on the general area within it. Finally, stability properties at the two beaches are compared. It is shown that longshore current profiles over a plane and a barred beach may give rise to different stability properties, suggesting that shear instabilities may be a more common feature on barred beaches.

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T. C. Lippmann
,
T. H. C. Herbers
, and
E. B. Thornton

Abstract

Data from a cross-shore array of nine collocated pressure sensors and bidirectional current meters, extending from the shoreline to approximately 4.5-m depth, are used to estimate the relative contributions of gravity waves (e.g., edge and leaky waves) and instabilities of the alongshore current (shear waves) to motions in the infragravity (frequencies nominally 0.004–0.05 Hz) band. The ratio between frequency-integrated velocity and pressure variances is shown to be approximately equal to g/h for a broad spectrum of gravity waves independent of the mode mix of edge and leaky waves. Since shear waves have velocity to pressure variance ratios ≫ g/h, this ratio can be used to estimate the relative contributions of gravity and shear waves to the infragravity band. Outside the surf zone where the shear in the alongshore current is relatively weak, the observed velocity to pressure variance ratios are approximately equal to g/h, consistent with a gravity-dominated wave field. Inside the surf zone where alongshore currents are strongly sheared, these ratios are up to a factor of 4 larger, indicating that shear waves contribute as much as 75% of the velocity variance in the infragravity band. Observed shear-wave-dominated infragravity band motions are confined to a narrow region of strong shear on the seaward side of the alongshore current maximum, and their cross-shore structure appears to be insensitive to changes in the beach profile, qualitatively consistent with theoretical predictions by linear stability analysis.

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R. T. Guza
,
E. B. Thornton
, and
N. Christensen Jr.

Abstract

Steady surf-zone longshore currents and directional properties of the incident wave field were measured on a beach with nearly straight and parallel depth contours. Selected data were processed into 64 segments, each of 68.2 min. duration, irregularly spaced throughout an 18-day period. A wide variety of incident wave and longshore current conditions were observed. The radiation stress spectrum [Sxy (f)] was estimated from a slope array and two current meters located seaward of the surf zone. In many cases the total radiation stress [Sxy T = ΣSxy (ff] contains important contributions from a wide range of frequencies. In a few instances, sea and swell approach the beach from different directions quadrants resulting in a new zero Sxy T . The strong shears and direction reversals of the longshore current that could conceivably occur in this circumstance were not observed. An EOF decomposition of the mean longshore current pattern shows that most (<90%) of the current spatial variation in the 64 runs is contained in a classical parabolic shape. The temporal expansion coefficients of the first EOF are equally highly correlated with both Sxy T , and a scale velocity suggested by radiation stress-based longshore current theories.

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David M. Lawrence
,
Peter E. Thornton
,
Keith W. Oleson
, and
Gordon B. Bonan

Abstract

Although the global partitioning of evapotranspiration (ET) into transpiration, soil evaporation, and canopy evaporation is not well known, most current land surface schemes and the few available observations indicate that transpiration is the dominant component on the global scale, followed by soil evaporation and canopy evaporation. The Community Land Model version 3 (CLM3), however, does not reflect this global view of ET partitioning, with soil evaporation and canopy evaporation far outweighing transpiration. One consequence of this unrealistic ET partitioning in CLM3 is that photosynthesis, which is linked to transpiration through stomatal conductance, is significantly underestimated on a global basis. A number of modifications to CLM3 vegetation and soil hydrology parameterizations are described that improve ET partitioning and reduce an apparent dry soil bias in CLM3. The modifications reduce canopy interception and evaporation, reduce soil moisture stress on transpiration, increase transpiration through a more realistic canopy integration scheme, reduce within-canopy soil evaporation, eliminate lateral drainage of soil water, increase infiltration of water into the soil, and increase the vertical redistribution of soil water. The partitioning of ET is improved, with notable increases seen in transpiration (13%–41% of global ET) and photosynthesis (65–148 Pg C yr−1). Soils are wetter and exhibit a far more distinct soil moisture annual cycle and greater interseasonal soil water storage, which permits plants to sustain transpiration through the dry season.

The broader influences of improved ET partitioning on land–atmosphere interaction are diverse. Stronger transpiration and reduced canopy evaporation yield an extended ET response to rain events and a shift in the precipitation distribution toward more frequent small- to medium-size rain events. Soil moisture memory time scales decrease particularly at deeper soil levels. Subsurface soil moisture exerts a slightly greater influence on precipitation. These results indicate that partitioning of ET is an important responsibility for land surface schemes, a responsibility that will gain in relevance as GCMs evolve to incorporate ever more complex treatments of the earth’s carbon and hydrologic cycles.

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Samuel Levis
,
Gordon B. Bonan
,
Erik Kluzek
,
Peter E. Thornton
,
Andrew Jones
,
William J. Sacks
, and
Christopher J. Kucharik

Abstract

The Community Earth System Model, version 1 (CESM1) is evaluated with two coupled atmosphere–land simulations. The CTRL (control) simulation represents crops as unmanaged grasses, while CROP represents a crop managed simulation that includes special algorithms for midlatitude corn, soybean, and cereal phenology and carbon allocation. CROP has a more realistic leaf area index (LAI) for crops than CTRL. CROP reduces winter LAI and represents the spring planting and fall harvest explicitly. At the peak of the growing season, CROP simulates higher crop LAI. These changes generally reduce the latent heat flux but not around peak LAI (late spring/early summer). In midwestern North America, where corn, soybean, and cereal abundance is high, simulated peak summer precipitation declines and agrees better with observations, particularly when crops emerge late as is found from a late planting sensitivity simulation (LateP). Differences between the CROP and LateP simulations underscore the importance of simulating crop planting and harvest dates correctly. On the biogeochemistry side, the annual cycle of net ecosystem exchange (NEE) also improves in CROP relative to Ameriflux site observations. For a global perspective, the authors diagnose annual cycles of CO2 from the simulated NEE (CO2 is not prognostic in these simulations) and compare against representative GLOBALVIEW monitoring stations. The authors find an increased (thus also improved) amplitude of the annual cycle in CROP. These regional and global-scale refinements from improvements in the simulated plant phenology have promising implications for the development of the CESM and particularly for simulations with prognostic atmospheric CO2.

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Joseph E. Trujillo-Falcón
,
América R. Gaviria Pabón
,
Joseph T. Ripberger
,
Abby Bitterman
,
Jonathan B. Thornton
,
Makenzie J. Krocak
,
Sean R. Ernst
,
Estilita Cassiani Obeso
, and
John Lipski

Abstract

Spanish-speaking populations in the United States are more vulnerable in disaster contexts due to inequities, such as language barriers, that prevent them from receiving life-saving information. For the past couple of decades, governmental organizations have addressed these issues by translating weather watches, warnings, and advisories into Spanish. Previous studies suggest that these Spanish translations do not communicate the same level of urgency as their English counterparts. To identify whether these translated products result in inequities between English and Spanish speaker reception and comprehension of forecast information, we asked a representative sample of U.S. English (n = 1,550) and Spanish (n = 1,050) speakers to correctly identify the translations of weather watches and warnings and found significant language inequities. Additionally, we asked U.S. Spanish speakers to indicate the urgency they felt when shown different Spanish words used in weather watch and warning translations. When presented with various translations for watch and warning terminology, respondents consistently rated aviso, the current translation of warning by the NWS and FEMA, as less urgent than many other alternatives. Additionally, the current translation of advisory, advertencia, communicated more urgency than both existing watch and warning translations in Spanish. To increase the effectiveness of severe weather messaging in multilingual contexts, translations should take into consideration factors such as culture and dialects of Spanish speakers in the United States and focus on translating the meaning, not the words, of key risk statements in weather products. We recommend vigilancia for “watch” and alerta for “warning” as research-supported terminologies to communicate urgency in Spanish.

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Keith Lindsay
,
Gordon B. Bonan
,
Scott C. Doney
,
Forrest M. Hoffman
,
David M. Lawrence
,
Matthew C. Long
,
Natalie M. Mahowald
,
J. Keith Moore
,
James T. Randerson
, and
Peter E. Thornton

Abstract

Version 1 of the Community Earth System Model, in the configuration where its full carbon cycle is enabled, is introduced and documented. In this configuration, the terrestrial biogeochemical model, which includes carbon–nitrogen dynamics and is present in earlier model versions, is coupled to an ocean biogeochemical model and atmospheric CO2 tracers. The authors provide a description of the model, detail how preindustrial-control and twentieth-century experiments were initialized and forced, and examine the behavior of the carbon cycle in those experiments. They examine how sea- and land-to-air CO2 fluxes contribute to the increase of atmospheric CO2 in the twentieth century, analyze how atmospheric CO2 and its surface fluxes vary on interannual time scales, including how they respond to ENSO, and describe the seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2 and its surface fluxes. While the model broadly reproduces observed aspects of the carbon cycle, there are several notable biases, including having too large of an increase in atmospheric CO2 over the twentieth century and too small of a seasonal cycle of atmospheric CO2 in the Northern Hemisphere. The biases are related to a weak response of the carbon cycle to climatic variations on interannual and seasonal time scales and to twentieth-century anthropogenic forcings, including rising CO2, land-use change, and atmospheric deposition of nitrogen.

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Peter J. Lawrence
,
Johannes J. Feddema
,
Gordon B. Bonan
,
Gerald A. Meehl
,
Brian C. O’Neill
,
Keith W. Oleson
,
Samuel Levis
,
David M. Lawrence
,
Erik Kluzek
,
Keith Lindsay
, and
Peter E. Thornton

Abstract

To assess the climate impacts of historical and projected land cover change in the Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4), new time series of transient Community Land Model, version 4 (CLM4) plant functional type (PFT) and wood harvest parameters have been developed. The new parameters capture the dynamics of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) land cover change and wood harvest trajectories for the historical period from 1850 to 2005 and for the four representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios from 2006 to 2100. Analysis of the biogeochemical impacts of land cover change in CCSM4 reveals that the model produced a historical cumulative land use flux of 127.7 PgC from 1850 to 2005, which is in general agreement with other global estimates of 156 PgC for the same period. The biogeophysical impacts of the transient land cover change parameters were cooling of the near-surface atmosphere over land by −0.1°C, through increased surface albedo and reduced shortwave radiation absorption. When combined with other transient climate forcings, the higher albedo from land cover change was counteracted by decreasing snow albedo from black carbon deposition and high-latitude warming. The future CCSM4 RCP simulations showed that the CLM4 transient PFT parameters can be used to represent a wide range of land cover change scenarios. In the reforestation scenario of RCP 4.5, CCSM4 simulated a drawdown of 67.3 PgC from the atmosphere into the terrestrial ecosystem and product pools. By contrast the RCP 8.5 scenario with deforestation and high wood harvest resulted in the release of 30.3 PgC currently stored in the ecosystem.

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Gretchen Keppel-Aleks
,
James T. Randerson
,
Keith Lindsay
,
Britton B. Stephens
,
J. Keith Moore
,
Scott C. Doney
,
Peter E. Thornton
,
Natalie M. Mahowald
,
Forrest M. Hoffman
,
Colm Sweeney
,
Pieter P. Tans
,
Paul O. Wennberg
, and
Steven C. Wofsy

Abstract

Changes in atmospheric CO2 variability during the twenty-first century may provide insight about ecosystem responses to climate change and have implications for the design of carbon monitoring programs. This paper describes changes in the three-dimensional structure of atmospheric CO2 for several representative concentration pathways (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5) using the Community Earth System Model–Biogeochemistry (CESM1-BGC). CO2 simulated for the historical period was first compared to surface, aircraft, and column observations. In a second step, the evolution of spatial and temporal gradients during the twenty-first century was examined. The mean annual cycle in atmospheric CO2 was underestimated for the historical period throughout the Northern Hemisphere, suggesting that the growing season net flux in the Community Land Model (the land component of CESM) was too weak. Consistent with weak summer drawdown in Northern Hemisphere high latitudes, simulated CO2 showed correspondingly weak north–south and vertical gradients during the summer. In the simulations of the twenty-first century, CESM predicted increases in the mean annual cycle of atmospheric CO2 and larger horizontal gradients. Not only did the mean north–south gradient increase due to fossil fuel emissions, but east–west contrasts in CO2 also strengthened because of changing patterns in fossil fuel emissions and terrestrial carbon exchange. In the RCP8.5 simulation, where CO2 increased to 1150 ppm by 2100, the CESM predicted increases in interannual variability in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes of up to 60% relative to present variability for time series filtered with a 2–10-yr bandpass. Such an increase in variability may impact detection of changing surface fluxes from atmospheric observations.

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Robert M. Rauber
,
Bjorn Stevens
,
Harry T. Ochs III
,
Charles Knight
,
B. A. Albrecht
,
A. M. Blyth
,
C. W. Fairall
,
J. B. Jensen
,
S. G. Lasher-Trapp
,
O. L. Mayol-Bracero
,
G. Vali
,
J. R. Anderson
,
B. A. Baker
,
A. R. Bandy
,
E. Burnet
,
J.-L. Brenguier
,
W. A. Brewer
,
P. R. A. Brown
,
R Chuang
,
W. R. Cotton
,
L. Di Girolamo
,
B. Geerts
,
H. Gerber
,
S. Göke
,
L. Gomes
,
B. G. Heikes
,
J. G. Hudson
,
P. Kollias
,
R. R Lawson
,
S. K. Krueger
,
D. H. Lenschow
,
L. Nuijens
,
D. W. O'Sullivan
,
R. A. Rilling
,
D. C. Rogers
,
A. P. Siebesma
,
E. Snodgrass
,
J. L. Stith
,
D. C. Thornton
,
S. Tucker
,
C. H. Twohy
, and
P. Zuidema

Shallow, maritime cumuli are ubiquitous over much of the tropical oceans, and characterizing their properties is important to understanding weather and climate. The Rain in Cumulus over the Ocean (RICO) field campaign, which took place during November 2004–January 2005 in the trades over the western Atlantic, emphasized measurements of processes related to the formation of rain in shallow cumuli, and how rain subsequently modifies the structure and ensemble statistics of trade wind clouds. Eight weeks of nearly continuous S-band polarimetric radar sampling, 57 flights from three heavily instrumented research aircraft, and a suite of ground- and ship-based instrumentation provided data on trade wind clouds with unprecedented resolution. Observational strategies employed during RICO capitalized on the advances in remote sensing and other instrumentation to provide insight into processes that span a range of scales and that lie at the heart of questions relating to the cause and effects of rain from shallow maritime cumuli.

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