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- Author or Editor: Lixin Wu x
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Abstract
In this paper, global climatic response to the North Pacific oceanic warming is investigated in a series of coupled ocean–atmosphere modeling experiments. In the model, an idealized heating is imposed over the North Pacific Ocean, while the ocean and atmosphere remain fully coupled both locally and elsewhere. The model explicitly demonstrates that the North Pacific oceanic warming can force a significant change of the atmospheric circulation with a strong seasonal dependence. The seasonal marching of the atmospheric response over the North Pacific is characterized by a quasi-baratropic warm ridge in early winter, a transition to a quasi-baratropic warm trough in late winter, and then to a baroclinic response in summer with a trough and ridge, respectively, in the lower and upper troposphere. The North Pacific warming also forces a significant remote response over the tropical Pacific. In winter, the tropical Pacific response is characterized by a nearly uniform warming coupled with anomalous southerly cross-equatorial winds, while in summer it is dominated by an enhanced zonal SST gradient and anomalous equatorial easterlies. The tropical warming tends to be associated with a reduction of the upper-ocean meridional overturning circulation and equatorial ocean dynamics associated with a reduction of the Hadley circulation and the surface coupled wind–evaporation–SST feedback. The resulting tropical warming can further intensify the seasonal marching of the North Pacific atmospheric response. The global impacts of the North Pacific warming are also discussed.
Abstract
In this paper, global climatic response to the North Pacific oceanic warming is investigated in a series of coupled ocean–atmosphere modeling experiments. In the model, an idealized heating is imposed over the North Pacific Ocean, while the ocean and atmosphere remain fully coupled both locally and elsewhere. The model explicitly demonstrates that the North Pacific oceanic warming can force a significant change of the atmospheric circulation with a strong seasonal dependence. The seasonal marching of the atmospheric response over the North Pacific is characterized by a quasi-baratropic warm ridge in early winter, a transition to a quasi-baratropic warm trough in late winter, and then to a baroclinic response in summer with a trough and ridge, respectively, in the lower and upper troposphere. The North Pacific warming also forces a significant remote response over the tropical Pacific. In winter, the tropical Pacific response is characterized by a nearly uniform warming coupled with anomalous southerly cross-equatorial winds, while in summer it is dominated by an enhanced zonal SST gradient and anomalous equatorial easterlies. The tropical warming tends to be associated with a reduction of the upper-ocean meridional overturning circulation and equatorial ocean dynamics associated with a reduction of the Hadley circulation and the surface coupled wind–evaporation–SST feedback. The resulting tropical warming can further intensify the seasonal marching of the North Pacific atmospheric response. The global impacts of the North Pacific warming are also discussed.
Abstract
Atmospheric response to a midlatitude winter SST anomaly is studied in a coupled ocean–atmosphere general circulation model. The role of ocean–atmosphere coupling is examined with ensemble experiments of different coupling configurations. The atmospheric response is found to depend critically on ocean–atmosphere coupling. The full coupling experiment produces the strongest warm-ridge response and agrees the best with a statistical estimation of the atmospheric response. The fixed SST experiment and the thermodynamic coupling experiment also generate a warm-ridge response, but with a substantially weaker magnitude. This weaker warm-ridge response is associated with an excessive heat flux into the atmosphere, which tends to force an anomalous warm- low response and, therefore, weakens the warm-ridge response of the full coupling experiment.
This study suggests that the atmospheric response is associated with both the SST and heat flux. The SST forcing favors a warm-ridge response, while the heat flux forcing tends to be associated with a warm-low response. The correct atmospheric response is generated in the fully coupled model that produces the correct combination of SST and heat flux naturally.
Abstract
Atmospheric response to a midlatitude winter SST anomaly is studied in a coupled ocean–atmosphere general circulation model. The role of ocean–atmosphere coupling is examined with ensemble experiments of different coupling configurations. The atmospheric response is found to depend critically on ocean–atmosphere coupling. The full coupling experiment produces the strongest warm-ridge response and agrees the best with a statistical estimation of the atmospheric response. The fixed SST experiment and the thermodynamic coupling experiment also generate a warm-ridge response, but with a substantially weaker magnitude. This weaker warm-ridge response is associated with an excessive heat flux into the atmosphere, which tends to force an anomalous warm- low response and, therefore, weakens the warm-ridge response of the full coupling experiment.
This study suggests that the atmospheric response is associated with both the SST and heat flux. The SST forcing favors a warm-ridge response, while the heat flux forcing tends to be associated with a warm-low response. The correct atmospheric response is generated in the fully coupled model that produces the correct combination of SST and heat flux naturally.
Abstract
In this paper, the causes and mechanisms of North Atlantic decadal variability are explored in a series of coupled ocean–atmosphere simulations. The model captures the major features of the observed North Atlantic decadal variability. The North Atlantic SST anomalies in the model control simulation exhibit a prominent decadal cycle of 12–16 yr, and a coherent propagation from the western subtropical Atlantic to the subpolar region. A series of additional modeling experiments are conducted in which the air–sea coupling is systematically modified in order to evaluate the importance of air–sea coupling for the North Atlantic decadal variability being studied. This shall be referred to as “modeling surgery.” The results suggest the critical role of ocean–atmosphere coupling in sustaining the North Atlantic decadal oscillation at selected time scales. The coupling in the North Atlantic is characterized by a robust North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)-like atmospheric response to the SST tripole anomaly, which tends to intensify the SST anomaly and, meanwhile, also provide a delayed negative feedback. This delayed negative feedback is predominantly associated with the adjustment of the subtropical gyre in response to the anomalous wind stress curl in the subtropical Atlantic. Atmospheric stochastic forcing can drive SST patterns similar to those in the fully coupled ocean–atmosphere system, but fails to generate any preferred decadal time scales. The simulated North Atlantic decadal variability, therefore, can be viewed as a coupled ocean–atmosphere mode under the influence of stochastic forcing.
This modeling study also suggests some potential resonance between the Pacific and the North Atlantic decadal fluctuations mediated by the atmosphere. The modeling surgery indicates that the Pacific climate, although not a necessary precondition, can impact the North Atlantic climate variability substantially.
Abstract
In this paper, the causes and mechanisms of North Atlantic decadal variability are explored in a series of coupled ocean–atmosphere simulations. The model captures the major features of the observed North Atlantic decadal variability. The North Atlantic SST anomalies in the model control simulation exhibit a prominent decadal cycle of 12–16 yr, and a coherent propagation from the western subtropical Atlantic to the subpolar region. A series of additional modeling experiments are conducted in which the air–sea coupling is systematically modified in order to evaluate the importance of air–sea coupling for the North Atlantic decadal variability being studied. This shall be referred to as “modeling surgery.” The results suggest the critical role of ocean–atmosphere coupling in sustaining the North Atlantic decadal oscillation at selected time scales. The coupling in the North Atlantic is characterized by a robust North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO)-like atmospheric response to the SST tripole anomaly, which tends to intensify the SST anomaly and, meanwhile, also provide a delayed negative feedback. This delayed negative feedback is predominantly associated with the adjustment of the subtropical gyre in response to the anomalous wind stress curl in the subtropical Atlantic. Atmospheric stochastic forcing can drive SST patterns similar to those in the fully coupled ocean–atmosphere system, but fails to generate any preferred decadal time scales. The simulated North Atlantic decadal variability, therefore, can be viewed as a coupled ocean–atmosphere mode under the influence of stochastic forcing.
This modeling study also suggests some potential resonance between the Pacific and the North Atlantic decadal fluctuations mediated by the atmosphere. The modeling surgery indicates that the Pacific climate, although not a necessary precondition, can impact the North Atlantic climate variability substantially.
Abstract
Decadal variability in the North Pacific is studied in a series of coupled global ocean–atmosphere simulations using coupled modeling surgery—a set of modeling approaches that can be used to identify the origins and causes of a specific variability mode in the coupled climate system. Both modeling and observational studies suggest two distinctive internal modes in the North Pacific: the North Pacific mode (NPM) and the eastern North Pacific mode (ENPM). The ENPM originates from atmospheric stochastic forcing through spatial resonance. Both local ocean–atmosphere coupling and remote tropical teleconnective forcing can enhance the ENPM, but none of them is a necessary precondition. The influence of the tropical forcing in the midlatitudes is dominated by atmospheric teleconnection, while the oceanic teleconnection is negligible. The upper-ocean heat budget reveals that SST anomalies in the central North Pacific and the eastern North Pacific are generated by anomalous Ekman advection and surface heat flux, respectively. In contrast to the ENPM, the NPM critically depends on local ocean–atmosphere coupled feedback, although the atmospheric stochastic forcing can generate a NPM-like mode with much reduced amplitudes and no preferred timescale.
Abstract
Decadal variability in the North Pacific is studied in a series of coupled global ocean–atmosphere simulations using coupled modeling surgery—a set of modeling approaches that can be used to identify the origins and causes of a specific variability mode in the coupled climate system. Both modeling and observational studies suggest two distinctive internal modes in the North Pacific: the North Pacific mode (NPM) and the eastern North Pacific mode (ENPM). The ENPM originates from atmospheric stochastic forcing through spatial resonance. Both local ocean–atmosphere coupling and remote tropical teleconnective forcing can enhance the ENPM, but none of them is a necessary precondition. The influence of the tropical forcing in the midlatitudes is dominated by atmospheric teleconnection, while the oceanic teleconnection is negligible. The upper-ocean heat budget reveals that SST anomalies in the central North Pacific and the eastern North Pacific are generated by anomalous Ekman advection and surface heat flux, respectively. In contrast to the ENPM, the NPM critically depends on local ocean–atmosphere coupled feedback, although the atmospheric stochastic forcing can generate a NPM-like mode with much reduced amplitudes and no preferred timescale.
Abstract
The roles of freshwater flux (defined as evaporation minus precipitation) changes in global warming are studied using simulations of a climate model in which the freshwater flux changes are suppressed in the presence of a doubling of CO2 concentration. The model simulations demonstrate that the warm climate leads to an acceleration of the global water cycle, which causes freshening in the high latitudes and salinification in the subtropics and midlatitudes. It is found that the freshwater flux changes tend to amplify rather than suppress global warming. Over the global scale, this amplification is largely associated with high-latitude freshening in a warm climate, which leads to a shoaling of the mixed layer depth, a weakening of the vertical mixing, and thus a trapping of CO2-induced warming in the surface ocean. The latitudinal distribution of SST changes due to the effects of freshwater flux changes in a warm climate is complicated, involving anomalous advection induced by both salinity and wind stress changes. In addition, atmospheric feedbacks associated with global warming also amplify the SST warming.
Abstract
The roles of freshwater flux (defined as evaporation minus precipitation) changes in global warming are studied using simulations of a climate model in which the freshwater flux changes are suppressed in the presence of a doubling of CO2 concentration. The model simulations demonstrate that the warm climate leads to an acceleration of the global water cycle, which causes freshening in the high latitudes and salinification in the subtropics and midlatitudes. It is found that the freshwater flux changes tend to amplify rather than suppress global warming. Over the global scale, this amplification is largely associated with high-latitude freshening in a warm climate, which leads to a shoaling of the mixed layer depth, a weakening of the vertical mixing, and thus a trapping of CO2-induced warming in the surface ocean. The latitudinal distribution of SST changes due to the effects of freshwater flux changes in a warm climate is complicated, involving anomalous advection induced by both salinity and wind stress changes. In addition, atmospheric feedbacks associated with global warming also amplify the SST warming.
Abstract
In this study the modulation of ocean-to-atmosphere feedback over the North Pacific in early winter from global warming is investigated based on both the observations and multiple climate model simulations from a statistical perspective. It is demonstrated that the basin-scale atmospheric circulation displays an equivalent barotropic ridge in response to warm SST anomalies in the Kuroshio–Oyashio Extension (KOE) region. This warm SST–ridge response in early winter can be enhanced significantly by global warming, indicating a strengthening of air–sea coupling over the North Pacific. This enhancement is likely associated with the intensification of storm tracks and, in turn, the amplification of atmospheric transient eddy feedback in a warm climate, although the secular trend of enhanced storm-track activity over the North Pacific is suggested to be biased in reanalysis product.
Abstract
In this study the modulation of ocean-to-atmosphere feedback over the North Pacific in early winter from global warming is investigated based on both the observations and multiple climate model simulations from a statistical perspective. It is demonstrated that the basin-scale atmospheric circulation displays an equivalent barotropic ridge in response to warm SST anomalies in the Kuroshio–Oyashio Extension (KOE) region. This warm SST–ridge response in early winter can be enhanced significantly by global warming, indicating a strengthening of air–sea coupling over the North Pacific. This enhancement is likely associated with the intensification of storm tracks and, in turn, the amplification of atmospheric transient eddy feedback in a warm climate, although the secular trend of enhanced storm-track activity over the North Pacific is suggested to be biased in reanalysis product.
Abstract
In this study, a lagged maximum covariance analysis (MCA) of the wintertime storm-track and sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies derived from the reanalysis datasets shows significant seasonal and long-term relationships between storm tracks and SST variations in the North Pacific. At seasonal time scales, it is found that the midlatitude warm (cold) SST anomalies in the preceding fall, which are expected to change the tropospheric baroclinicity, can significantly reduce (enhance) the storm-track activities in early winter. The storm-track response pattern, however, is in sharp contrast to the forcing pattern, with warm (cold) SST anomalies in the western–central North Pacific corresponding to a poleward (equatorward) shift of storm tracks. At interannual-to-decadal time scales, it is found that the wintertime SST and storm-track anomalies are mutually reinforced up to 3 yr, which is characterized by PDO-like SST anomalies with warming in the western–central domain coupled with basin-scale positive storm-track anomalies extending along 50°N.
Abstract
In this study, a lagged maximum covariance analysis (MCA) of the wintertime storm-track and sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies derived from the reanalysis datasets shows significant seasonal and long-term relationships between storm tracks and SST variations in the North Pacific. At seasonal time scales, it is found that the midlatitude warm (cold) SST anomalies in the preceding fall, which are expected to change the tropospheric baroclinicity, can significantly reduce (enhance) the storm-track activities in early winter. The storm-track response pattern, however, is in sharp contrast to the forcing pattern, with warm (cold) SST anomalies in the western–central North Pacific corresponding to a poleward (equatorward) shift of storm tracks. At interannual-to-decadal time scales, it is found that the wintertime SST and storm-track anomalies are mutually reinforced up to 3 yr, which is characterized by PDO-like SST anomalies with warming in the western–central domain coupled with basin-scale positive storm-track anomalies extending along 50°N.
Abstract
In this paper, coupled ocean–atmosphere responses to freshening over the Antarctic Ocean are investigated in a fully coupled model with a series of sensitivity experiments. In the model, 1.0 Sv (1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1) of freshwater flux is uniformly imposed over the Antarctic Ocean for 400 yr, while the ocean and atmosphere remain fully coupled both locally and elsewhere. The model explicitly demonstrates that a freshening of the Antarctic Ocean can induce a significant local cooling coupled with an intensification of the westerly winds and expansion of sea ice. Furthermore, the cooling can extend to the entire southern extratropical and tropical oceans coupled with an intensification of southeasterly trades and the equatorial trade winds. Some modest warm anomalies also occur in the northern extratropical oceans, forming a sharp interhemispheric SST contrast.
A series of sensitivity experiments are conducted to understand the mechanisms responsible for transmitting the southern high latitude cooling to the tropics and the Northern Hemisphere. Experimental results demonstrate the important role of the surface coupled wind–evaporation–SST feedback and in turn changes of the subtropical–tropical meridional overturning circulation in conveying the southern high-latitude temperature anomalies to the tropics. The interhemispheric seesaw originates from the tropical–northern extratropical atmospheric teleconnection and is sustained by the subductive process of Antarctic subsurface warming. The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation is intensified in the first few decades of the freshwater forcing over the Antarctic Ocean because of a shutdown of the Antarctic deep convection, but it subsequently decreases because of the spreading of the fresh anomalies from the Southern Ocean to the Northern Ocean.
Abstract
In this paper, coupled ocean–atmosphere responses to freshening over the Antarctic Ocean are investigated in a fully coupled model with a series of sensitivity experiments. In the model, 1.0 Sv (1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1) of freshwater flux is uniformly imposed over the Antarctic Ocean for 400 yr, while the ocean and atmosphere remain fully coupled both locally and elsewhere. The model explicitly demonstrates that a freshening of the Antarctic Ocean can induce a significant local cooling coupled with an intensification of the westerly winds and expansion of sea ice. Furthermore, the cooling can extend to the entire southern extratropical and tropical oceans coupled with an intensification of southeasterly trades and the equatorial trade winds. Some modest warm anomalies also occur in the northern extratropical oceans, forming a sharp interhemispheric SST contrast.
A series of sensitivity experiments are conducted to understand the mechanisms responsible for transmitting the southern high latitude cooling to the tropics and the Northern Hemisphere. Experimental results demonstrate the important role of the surface coupled wind–evaporation–SST feedback and in turn changes of the subtropical–tropical meridional overturning circulation in conveying the southern high-latitude temperature anomalies to the tropics. The interhemispheric seesaw originates from the tropical–northern extratropical atmospheric teleconnection and is sustained by the subductive process of Antarctic subsurface warming. The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation is intensified in the first few decades of the freshwater forcing over the Antarctic Ocean because of a shutdown of the Antarctic deep convection, but it subsequently decreases because of the spreading of the fresh anomalies from the Southern Ocean to the Northern Ocean.
Abstract
In this study, the lagged maximum covariance analysis is performed on winter storm-track anomalies, represented by the meridional heat flux by synoptic-scale (2–8 days) transient eddies and sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the North Atlantic, which are both derived from reanalysis datasets spanning the twentieth century. The analysis shows significant seasonal and interannual coupling between storm-track and SST variations. On seasonal time scales, it is found that SST anomalies in the preceding early winter (November–December), which are expected to change the lower-tropospheric baroclinicity, can significantly influence storm tracks in early spring (March); that is, an intensification and slight northward shift of storm tracks in response to a midlatitude SST dipole, with a cold pole centered to the southeast of Newfoundland and a warm pole in the western subtropical Atlantic. This storm-track response pattern is similar to the storm-track forcing pattern in early spring, which resembles the dominant mode of storm tracks. At interannual time scales, it is found that the wintertime (January–March) storm-track and SST anomalies are mutually reinforced, manifesting as a zonal-dipole-like pattern in storm-track anomalies (with dominant negative anomalies in the downstream) coupled with a midlatitude SST monopole (with warm anomalies centered to the south and east of Newfoundland).
Abstract
In this study, the lagged maximum covariance analysis is performed on winter storm-track anomalies, represented by the meridional heat flux by synoptic-scale (2–8 days) transient eddies and sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the North Atlantic, which are both derived from reanalysis datasets spanning the twentieth century. The analysis shows significant seasonal and interannual coupling between storm-track and SST variations. On seasonal time scales, it is found that SST anomalies in the preceding early winter (November–December), which are expected to change the lower-tropospheric baroclinicity, can significantly influence storm tracks in early spring (March); that is, an intensification and slight northward shift of storm tracks in response to a midlatitude SST dipole, with a cold pole centered to the southeast of Newfoundland and a warm pole in the western subtropical Atlantic. This storm-track response pattern is similar to the storm-track forcing pattern in early spring, which resembles the dominant mode of storm tracks. At interannual time scales, it is found that the wintertime (January–March) storm-track and SST anomalies are mutually reinforced, manifesting as a zonal-dipole-like pattern in storm-track anomalies (with dominant negative anomalies in the downstream) coupled with a midlatitude SST monopole (with warm anomalies centered to the south and east of Newfoundland).
Abstract
The response of the equatorial Pacific SST under CO2 doubling is investigated using Community Atmosphere Model, version 3.1 (CAM3.1)–1.5-layer reduced-gravity ocean (RGO) coupled model. A robust El Niño–like warming pattern is found in the equatorial Pacific. The surface heat budget analyses suggest the El Niño–like pattern results from a weakening of the Walker circulation. In the western equatorial Pacific, all the heat flux components are important to warm the ocean, with the vast majority canceled by entraiment cooling related to increased stratification. In the central-eastern Pacific, the oceanic horizontal advections along with longwave radiation and latent heat flux act to warm the ocean, with entrainment, shortwave radiation, and horizontal diffusion acting as damping terms. An enhanced annual cycle of SST in the equatorial Pacific is also found, which is driven by the ocean dynamical adjustments to changing winds in the eastern ocean.
Although the ocean model used here is a simple reduced-gravity model, the El Niño–like response supports the results of some full ocean–atmosphere general circulation models (GCMs) performed for the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) phase-5, indicating that the CAM3.1–RGO model can be taken as a useful and efficient tool to study equatorial Pacific response under changing climate.
Abstract
The response of the equatorial Pacific SST under CO2 doubling is investigated using Community Atmosphere Model, version 3.1 (CAM3.1)–1.5-layer reduced-gravity ocean (RGO) coupled model. A robust El Niño–like warming pattern is found in the equatorial Pacific. The surface heat budget analyses suggest the El Niño–like pattern results from a weakening of the Walker circulation. In the western equatorial Pacific, all the heat flux components are important to warm the ocean, with the vast majority canceled by entraiment cooling related to increased stratification. In the central-eastern Pacific, the oceanic horizontal advections along with longwave radiation and latent heat flux act to warm the ocean, with entrainment, shortwave radiation, and horizontal diffusion acting as damping terms. An enhanced annual cycle of SST in the equatorial Pacific is also found, which is driven by the ocean dynamical adjustments to changing winds in the eastern ocean.
Although the ocean model used here is a simple reduced-gravity model, the El Niño–like response supports the results of some full ocean–atmosphere general circulation models (GCMs) performed for the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) phase-5, indicating that the CAM3.1–RGO model can be taken as a useful and efficient tool to study equatorial Pacific response under changing climate.
