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Simone Lolli
and
Paolo Di Girolamo

Abstract

Developing a reliable cost-effective instrument network for data measurement is a challenging task for agency decisionmakers. A simple way to fully characterize the performances of an instrument that also considers economical and operational factors—price, maintenance cost, lifetime, etc.—currently does not exist. Through principal component analysis, a method is developed to build a composite index that assigns a single score to each instrument, taking into account all the scientific, economic, and operational aspects. This index will then represent solid help in building and optimizing a cost-effective network, bridging the gap between two very different worlds: the scientific need for precision and economic constraints.

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Simone Lolli
,
Ellsworth J. Welton
, and
James R. Campbell

Abstract

This paper investigates multiwavelength retrievals of median equivolumetric drop diameter D 0 suitable for drizzle and light rain, through collocated 355-/527-nm Micropulse Lidar Network (MPLNET) observations collected during precipitation occurring 9 May 2012 at the Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) project site. By applying a previously developed retrieval technique for infrared bands, the method exploits the differential backscatter by liquid water at 355 and 527 nm for water drops larger than ≈50 μm. In the absence of molecular and aerosol scattering and neglecting any transmission losses, the ratio of the backscattering profiles at the two wavelengths (355 and 527 nm), measured from light rain below the cloud melting layer, can be described as a color ratio, which is directly related to D 0. The uncertainty associated with this method is related to the unknown shape of the drop size spectrum and to the measurement error. Molecular and aerosol scattering contributions and relative transmission losses due to the various atmospheric constituents should be evaluated to derive D 0 from the observed color ratio profiles. This process is responsible for increasing the uncertainty in the retrieval. Multiple scattering, especially for UV lidar, is another source of error, but it exhibits lower overall uncertainty with respect to other identified error sources. It is found that the total error upper limit on D 0 approaches 50%. The impact of this retrieval for long-term MPLNET monitoring and its global data archive is discussed.

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James R. Campbell
,
Simone Lolli
,
Jasper R. Lewis
,
Yu Gu
, and
Ellsworth J. Welton

Abstract

One year of continuous ground-based lidar observations (2012) is analyzed for single-layer cirrus clouds at the NASA Micro Pulse Lidar Network site at the Goddard Space Flight Center to investigate top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) annual net daytime radiative forcing properties. A slight positive net daytime forcing is estimated (i.e., warming): 0.07–0.67 W m−2 in sample-relative terms, which reduces to 0.03–0.27 W m−2 in absolute terms after normalizing to unity based on a 40% midlatitude occurrence frequency rate estimated from satellite data. Results are based on bookend solutions for lidar extinction-to-backscatter (20 and 30 sr) and corresponding retrievals of the 532-nm cloud extinction coefficient. Uncertainties due to cloud undersampling, attenuation effects, sample selection, and lidar multiple scattering are described. A net daytime cooling effect is found from the very thinnest clouds (cloud optical depth ≤ 0.01), which is attributed to relatively high solar zenith angles. A relationship involving positive/negative daytime cloud forcing is demonstrated as a function of solar zenith angle and cloud-top temperature. These properties, combined with the influence of varying surface albedos, are used to conceptualize how daytime cloud forcing likely varies with latitude and season, with cirrus clouds exerting less positive forcing and potentially net TOA cooling approaching the summer poles (not ice and snow covered) versus greater warming at the equator. The existence of such a gradient would lead cirrus to induce varying daytime TOA forcing annually and seasonally, making it a far greater challenge than presently believed to constrain the daytime and diurnal cirrus contributions to global radiation budgets.

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Erica K. Dolinar
,
James R. Campbell
,
Jared W. Marquis
,
Jasper R. Lewis
,
Simone Lolli
,
Ping Yang
, and
Ellsworth J. Welton

Abstract

The uncertainties in absolute daytime top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) net cirrus cloud radiative forcing (CRF) and radiative heating rates are estimated at five Micro-Pulse Lidar Network (MPLNET) sites spanning the tropics to high-latitudes. One year of semi-transparent cirrus cloud (optical depth < 3.0 and cloud top temperature < −37 °C) measurements are subject to spectrally-consistent optical properties for nine different ice crystal habits, thus providing a range of possible forcing values. The annual average absolute daytime TOA net CRF is positive at Barbados, Kanpur, and, Singapore (0.59–0.67, 0.61–0.65, and 1.94–2.09 W∙m−2, respectively), negative at Fairbanks (−0.67 to −0.28 W∙m−2), and can regularly become positive or negative at Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) (−0.06 to 0.32 W∙m−2). The TOA CRF depends on ice crystal shape; in particular, plates lead to relatively large absolute values that decreases for bullet rosettes and columns. Uncertainties in daytime cirrus cloud radiative properties are estimated as the standard deviation of all possible outcomes when considering the different particle habits individually. Annually, the average uncertainty of the absolute daytime TOA net CRF ranges from 0.50–1.80 W∙m−2. In-cloud daytime net radiative heating rates are positive, on average, at all five sites (0.25–3.84 K/day) and have an estimated uncertainty of less than 0.30 K/day. The uncertainties in cirrus radiative forcing and heating that are characterized by assumptions regarding the ice crystal optical properties must be considered in downstream applications, including satellite retrievals and numerical weather prediction.

Restricted access
Theodore M. McHardy
,
James R. Campbell
,
David A. Peterson
,
Simone Lolli
,
Anne Garnier
,
Arunas P. Kuciauskas
,
Melinda L. Surratt
,
Jared W. Marquis
,
Steven D. Miller
,
Erica K. Dolinar
, and
Xiquan Dong

Abstract

This study develops a new thin cirrus detection algorithm applicable to overland scenes. The methodology builds from a previously developed overwater algorithm, which makes use of the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite 16 (GOES-16) Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) channel 4 radiance (1.378-μm “cirrus” band). Calibration of this algorithm is based on coincident Cloud–Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) cloud profiles. Emphasis is placed on rejection of false detections that are more common in overland scenes. Clear-sky false alarm rates over land are examined as a function of precipitable water vapor (PWV), showing that nearly all pixels having a PWV of <0.4 cm produce false alarms. Enforcing an above-cloud PWV minimum threshold of ∼1 cm ensures that most low-/midlevel clouds are not misclassified as cirrus by the algorithm. Pixel-filtering based on the total column PWV and the PWV for a layer between the top of the atmosphere (TOA) and a predetermined altitude H removes significant land surface and low-/midlevel cloud false alarms from the overall sample while preserving over 80% of valid cirrus pixels. Additionally, the use of an aggressive PWV layer threshold preferentially removes noncirrus pixels such that the remaining sample is composed of nearly 70% cirrus pixels, at the cost of a much-reduced overall sample size. This study shows that lower-tropospheric clouds are a much more significant source of uncertainty in cirrus detection than the land surface.

Free access
Simone Lolli
,
James R. Campbell
,
Jasper R. Lewis
,
Yu Gu
,
Jared W. Marquis
,
Boon Ning Chew
,
Soo-Chin Liew
,
Santo V. Salinas
, and
Ellsworth J. Welton

Abstract

Daytime top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) cirrus cloud radiative forcing (CRF) is estimated for cirrus clouds observed in ground-based lidar observations at Singapore in 2010 and 2011. Estimates are derived both over land and water to simulate conditions over the broader Maritime Continent archipelago of Southeast Asia. Based on bookend constraints of the lidar extinction-to-backscatter ratio (20 and 30 sr), used to solve extinction and initialize corresponding radiative transfer model simulations, relative daytime TOA CRF is estimated at 2.858–3.370 W m−2 in 2010 (both 20 and 30 sr, respectively) and 3.078–3.329 W m−2 in 2011 and over water between −0.094 and 0.541 W m−2 in 2010 and −0.598 and 0.433 W m−2 in 2011 (both 30 and 20 sr, respectively). After normalizing these estimates for an approximately 80% local satellite-estimated cirrus cloud occurrence rate, they reduce in absolute daytime terms to 2.198–2.592 W m−2 in 2010 and 2.368–2.561 W m−2 in 2011 over land and −0.072–0.416 W m−2 in 2010 and −0.460–0.333 W m−2 in 2011 over water. These annual estimates are mostly consistent despite a tendency toward lower relative cloud-top heights in 2011. Uncertainties are described. Estimates support the open hypothesis of a meridional hemispheric gradient in cirrus cloud daytime TOA CRF globally, varying from positive near the equator to presumably negative approaching the non-ice-covered poles. They help expand upon the paradigm, however, by conceptualizing differences zonally between overland and overwater forcing that differ significantly. More global oceans are likely subject to negative daytime TOA CRF than previously implied.

Full access
James R. Campbell
,
Erica K. Dolinar
,
Simone Lolli
,
Gilberto J. Fochesatto
,
Yu Gu
,
Jasper R. Lewis
,
Jared W. Marquis
,
Theodore M. McHardy
,
David R. Ryglicki
, and
Ellsworth J. Welton

Abstract

Cirrus cloud daytime top-of-the-atmosphere radiative forcing (TOA CRF) is estimated for a 2-yr NASA Micro-Pulse Lidar Network (532 nm; MPLNET) dataset collected at Fairbanks, Alaska. Two-year-averaged daytime TOA CRF is estimated to be between −1.08 and 0.78 W·m−2 (from −0.49 to 1.10 W·m−2 in 2017, and from −1.67 to 0.47 W·m−2 in 2018). This subarctic study completes a now trilogy of MPLNET ground-based cloud forcing investigations, following midlatitude and tropical studies by Campbell et al. at Greenbelt, Maryland, and Lolli et al. at Singapore. Campbell et al. hypothesize a global meridional daytime TOA CRF gradient that begins as positive at the equator (2.20–2.59 W·m−2 over land and from −0.46 to 0.42 W·m−2 over ocean at Singapore), becomes neutral in the midlatitudes (0.03–0.27 W·m−2 over land in Maryland), and turns negative moving poleward. This study does not completely confirm Campbell et al., as values are not found as exclusively negative. Evidence in historical reanalysis data suggests that daytime cirrus forcing in and around the subarctic likely once was exclusively negative. Increasing tropopause heights, inducing higher and colder cirrus, have likely increased regional forcing over the last 40 years. We hypothesize that subarctic interannual cloud variability is likely a considerable influence on global cirrus cloud forcing sensitivity, given the irregularity of polar versus midlatitude synoptic weather intrusions. This study and hypothesis lay the basis for an extrapolation of these MPLNET experiments to satellite-based lidar cirrus cloud datasets.

Full access
Theodore M. McHardy
,
James R. Campbell
,
David A. Peterson
,
Simone Lolli
,
Richard L. Bankert
,
Anne Garnier
,
Arunas P. Kuciauskas
,
Melinda L. Surratt
,
Jared W. Marquis
,
Steven D. Miller
,
Erica K. Dolinar
, and
Xiquan Dong

Abstract

We describe a quantitative evaluation of maritime transparent cirrus cloud detection, which is based on Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite 16 (GOES-16) and developed with collocated Cloud–Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) profiling. The detection algorithm is developed using one month of collocated GOES-16 Advanced Baseline Imager (ABI) channel-4 (1.378 μm) radiance and CALIOP 0.532-μm column-integrated cloud optical depth (COD). First, the relationships between the clear-sky 1.378-μm radiance, viewing/solar geometry, and precipitable water vapor (PWV) are characterized. Using machine-learning techniques, it is shown that the total atmospheric pathlength, proxied by airmass factor (AMF), is a suitable replacement for viewing zenith and solar zenith angles alone, and that PWV is not a significant problem over ocean. Detection thresholds are computed using the channel-4 radiance as a function of AMF. The algorithm detects nearly 50% of subvisual cirrus (COD < 0.03), 80% of transparent cirrus (0.03 < COD < 0.3), and 90% of opaque cirrus (COD > 0.3). Using a conservative radiance threshold results in 84% of cloudy pixels being correctly identified and 4% of clear-sky pixels being misidentified as cirrus. A semiquantitative COD retrieval is developed for GOES ABI based on the observed relationship between CALIOP COD and 1.378-μm radiance. This study lays the groundwork for a more complex, operational GOES transparent cirrus detection algorithm. Future expansion includes an overland algorithm, a more robust COD retrieval that is suitable for assimilation purposes, and downstream GOES products such as cirrus cloud microphysical property retrieval based on ABI infrared channels.

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James R. Campbell
,
Cui Ge
,
Jun Wang
,
Ellsworth J. Welton
,
Anthony Bucholtz
,
Edward J. Hyer
,
Elizabeth A. Reid
,
Boon Ning Chew
,
Soo-Chin Liew
,
Santo V. Salinas
,
Simone Lolli
,
Kathleen C. Kaku
,
Peng Lynch
,
Mastura Mahmud
,
Maznorizan Mohamad
, and
Brent N. Holben

ABSTRACT

This work describes some of the most extensive ground-based observations of the aerosol profile collected in Southeast Asia to date, highlighting the challenges in simulating these observations with a mesoscale perspective. An 84-h WRF Model coupled with chemistry (WRF-Chem) mesoscale simulation of smoke particle transport at Kuching, Malaysia, in the southern Maritime Continent of Southeast Asia is evaluated relative to a unique collection of continuous ground-based lidar, sun photometer, and 4-h radiosonde profiling. The period was marked by relatively dry conditions, allowing smoke layers transported to the site unperturbed by wet deposition to be common regionally. The model depiction is reasonable overall. Core thermodynamics, including land/sea-breeze structure, are well resolved. Total model smoke extinction and, by proxy, mass concentration are low relative to observation. Smoke emissions source products are likely low because of undersampling of fires in infrared sun-synchronous satellite products, which is exacerbated regionally by endemic low-level cloud cover. Differences are identified between the model mass profile and the lidar profile, particularly during periods of afternoon convective mixing. A static smoke mass injection height parameterized for this study potentially influences this result. The model does not resolve the convective mixing of aerosol particles into the lower free troposphere or the enhancement of near-surface extinction from nighttime cooling and hygroscopic effects.

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James R. Campbell
,
David A. Peterson
,
Jared W. Marquis
,
Gilberto J. Fochesatto
,
Mark A. Vaughan
,
Sebastian A. Stewart
,
Jason L. Tackett
,
Simone Lolli
,
Jasper R. Lewis
,
Mayra I. Oyola
, and
Ellsworth J. Welton
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